The impact of geopolitical risks, financial stress, economic policy uncertainty on African stock markets returns and volatilities: wavelet coherence analysis

Bibliographic Details
Title: The impact of geopolitical risks, financial stress, economic policy uncertainty on African stock markets returns and volatilities: wavelet coherence analysis
Authors: David Korsah, Godfred Amewu, Kofi Osei Achampong
Source: Journal of Humanities and Applied Social Sciences, Vol 6, Iss 5, Pp 450-470 (2024)
Publisher Information: Emerald Publishing, 2024.
Publication Year: 2024
Collection: LCC:Social sciences (General)
Subject Terms: Economic policy uncertainty, Geopolitical risk, Financial stress, Wavelet coherence analysis, Social sciences (General), H1-99
More Details: Purpose – This study seeks to examine the relationship between macroeconomic shock indicators, namely geopolitical risk (GPR), global economic policy uncertainty (GEPU) and financial stress (FS), and returns as well as volatilities on seven carefully selected stock markets in Africa. Specifically, the study intends to unravel the co-movement and interdependence between the respective macroeconomic shock indicators and each of the stock markets under consideration across time and frequency. Design/methodology/approach – This study employed wavelet coherence approach to examine the strength and stability of the relationships across different time scales and frequency components, thereby providing valuable insights into specific periods and frequency ranges where the relationships are particularly pronounced. Findings – The study found that GEPU, Financial Stress (FS) and GPR failed to induce significant influence on African stock market returns in the short term (0–4 months band), but tend to intensify in the long-term band (after 6th month). On the contrary, stock market volatilities exhibited strong coherence and interdependence with GEPU, FSI and GPR in the short-term band. Originality/value – This study happens to be the first of its kind to comprehensively consider how the aforementioned macro-economic shock indicators impact stock markets returns and volatilities over time and frequency. Further, none of the earlier studies has attempted to examine the relationship between macro-economic shocks, stock returns and volatilities in different crisis periods. This study is the first of its kind in to employ data spanning from May 2007 to April 2023, thereby covering notable crisis periods such as global financial crisis (GFC) and the COVID-19 pandemic episodes.
Document Type: article
File Description: electronic resource
Language: English
ISSN: 2632-279X
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2632-279X
DOI: 10.1108/JHASS-12-2023-0172/full/pdf
DOI: 10.1108/JHASS-12-2023-0172
Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/b66c69fca395489d9960c7905fd10e13
Accession Number: edsdoj.b66c69fca395489d9960c7905fd10e13
Database: Directory of Open Access Journals
More Details
ISSN:2632279X
DOI:10.1108/JHASS-12-2023-0172/full/pdf
Published in:Journal of Humanities and Applied Social Sciences
Language:English