Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health

Bibliographic Details
Title: Does weather affect the growth rate of COVID-19, a study to comprehend transmission dynamics on human health
Authors: Arjun Sil, Vanapalli Naveen Kumar
Source: Journal of Safety Science and Resilience, Vol 1, Iss 1, Pp 3-11 (2020)
Publisher Information: KeAi Communications Co., Ltd., 2020.
Publication Year: 2020
Collection: LCC:Risk in industry. Risk management
Subject Terms: Covid-19, Pendemic, Temperature, Health risk, Risk in industry. Risk management, HD61
More Details: The undefendable outbreak of novel coronavirus (SARS-COV-2) lead to a global health emergency due to its higher transmission rate and longer symptomatic duration, created a health surge in a short time. Since Nov 2019 the outbreak in China, the virus is spreading exponentially everywhere. The current study focuses on the relationship between environmental parameters and the growth rate of COVID-19. The statistical analysis suggests that the temperature changes retarded the growth rate and found that -6.28 °C and +14.51 °C temperature is the favorable range for COVID-19 growth. Gutenberg- Richter's relationship is used to estimate the mean daily rate of exceedance of confirmed cases concerning the change in temperature. Indeed, temperature is the most influential parameter that reduces the growth at the rate of 13–17 cases/day with a 1 °C rise in temperature.
Document Type: article
File Description: electronic resource
Language: English
ISSN: 2666-4496
Relation: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666449620300049; https://doaj.org/toc/2666-4496
DOI: 10.1016/j.jnlssr.2020.06.004
Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/9bf907c040de4cae849b886b5f7ccf46
Accession Number: edsdoj.9bf907c040de4cae849b886b5f7ccf46
Database: Directory of Open Access Journals
More Details
ISSN:26664496
DOI:10.1016/j.jnlssr.2020.06.004
Published in:Journal of Safety Science and Resilience
Language:English