Modelling the evolution and spread of HIV immune escape mutants.

Bibliographic Details
Title: Modelling the evolution and spread of HIV immune escape mutants.
Authors: Helen R Fryer, John Frater, Anna Duda, Mick G Roberts, SPARTAC Trial Investigators, Rodney E Phillips, Angela R McLean
Source: PLoS Pathogens, Vol 6, Iss 11, p e1001196 (2010)
Publisher Information: Public Library of Science (PLoS), 2010.
Publication Year: 2010
Collection: LCC:Immunologic diseases. Allergy
LCC:Biology (General)
Subject Terms: Immunologic diseases. Allergy, RC581-607, Biology (General), QH301-705.5
More Details: During infection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV), immune pressure from cytotoxic T-lymphocytes (CTLs) selects for viral mutants that confer escape from CTL recognition. These escape variants can be transmitted between individuals where, depending upon their cost to viral fitness and the CTL responses made by the recipient, they may revert. The rates of within-host evolution and their concordant impact upon the rate of spread of escape mutants at the population level are uncertain. Here we present a mathematical model of within-host evolution of escape mutants, transmission of these variants between hosts and subsequent reversion in new hosts. The model is an extension of the well-known SI model of disease transmission and includes three further parameters that describe host immunogenetic heterogeneity and rates of within host viral evolution. We use the model to explain why some escape mutants appear to have stable prevalence whilst others are spreading through the population. Further, we use it to compare diverse datasets on CTL escape, highlighting where different sources agree or disagree on within-host evolutionary rates. The several dozen CTL epitopes we survey from HIV-1 gag, RT and nef reveal a relatively sedate rate of evolution with average rates of escape measured in years and reversion in decades. For many epitopes in HIV, occasional rapid within-host evolution is not reflected in fast evolution at the population level.
Document Type: article
File Description: electronic resource
Language: English
ISSN: 1553-7366
1553-7374
Relation: http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC2987822?pdf=render; https://doaj.org/toc/1553-7366; https://doaj.org/toc/1553-7374
DOI: 10.1371/journal.ppat.1001196
Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/98bae1164c074097b19e006d6645ab7c
Accession Number: edsdoj.98bae1164c074097b19e006d6645ab7c
Database: Directory of Open Access Journals
More Details
ISSN:15537366
15537374
DOI:10.1371/journal.ppat.1001196
Published in:PLoS Pathogens
Language:English