Prognostic subgroups of chronic pain patients using latent variable mixture modeling within a supervised machine learning framework

Bibliographic Details
Title: Prognostic subgroups of chronic pain patients using latent variable mixture modeling within a supervised machine learning framework
Authors: Xiang Zhao, Katharina Dannenberg, Dirk Repsilber, Björn Gerdle, Peter Molander, Hugo Hesser
Source: Scientific Reports, Vol 14, Iss 1, Pp 1-12 (2024)
Publisher Information: Nature Portfolio, 2024.
Publication Year: 2024
Collection: LCC:Medicine
LCC:Science
Subject Terms: Pain classification, Latent variable mixture modeling, Machine learning, Pain prognosis, Medicine, Science
More Details: Abstract The present study combined a supervised machine learning framework with an unsupervised method, finite mixture modeling, to identify prognostically meaningful subgroups of diverse chronic pain patients undergoing interdisciplinary treatment. Questionnaire data collected at pre-treatment and 1-year follow up from 11,995 patients from the Swedish Quality Registry for Pain Rehabilitation were used. Indicators measuring pain characteristics, psychological aspects, and social functioning and general health status were used to form subgroups, and pain interference at follow-up was used for the selection and the performance evaluation of models. A nested cross-validation procedure was used for determining the number of classes (inner cross-validation) and the prediction accuracy of the selected model among unseen cases (outer cross-validation). A four-class solution was identified as the optimal model. Identified subgroups were separable on indicators, predictive of long-term outcomes, and related to background characteristics. Results are discussed in relation to previous clustering attempts of patients with diverse chronic pain conditions. Our analytical approach, as the first to combine mixture modeling with supervised, targeted learning, provides a promising framework that can be further extended and optimized for improving accurate prognosis in pain treatment and identifying clinically meaningful subgroups among chronic pain patients.
Document Type: article
File Description: electronic resource
Language: English
ISSN: 2045-2322
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-024-62542-w
Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/7943ef02d9fd474491fd858f707e0fbb
Accession Number: edsdoj.7943ef02d9fd474491fd858f707e0fbb
Database: Directory of Open Access Journals
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More Details
ISSN:20452322
DOI:10.1038/s41598-024-62542-w
Published in:Scientific Reports
Language:English