Age-period-cohort study of active pulmonary tuberculosis in eastern China: analysis of 15-year surveillance data

Bibliographic Details
Title: Age-period-cohort study of active pulmonary tuberculosis in eastern China: analysis of 15-year surveillance data
Authors: Dan Luo, Fengying Wang, Songhua Chen, Yu Zhang, Wei Wang, Qian Wu, Yuxiao Ling, Yang li, Yiqing Zhou, Kui Liu, Bin Chen
Source: BMC Public Health, Vol 25, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2025)
Publisher Information: BMC, 2025.
Publication Year: 2025
Collection: LCC:Public aspects of medicine
Subject Terms: Pulmonary tuberculosis, Notification rate, Joinpoint regression analysis, Age-period-cohort model, Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270
More Details: Abstract Background Tuberculosis remains a major public health challenge worldwide. This study aimed to determine the long-term trends in the notification rate of tuberculosis in Zhejiang Province, and to assess the potential independent risks associated with age, time period, and birth cohort. Methods Data on all pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) cases in Zhejiang Province from 2008 to 2022 were collected from the Tuberculosis Information Management System. Long-term trends in the notification rate and independent risks associated with quantitatively decomposed variables were determined using joinpoint regression model and age-period-cohort model. Results Between 2008 and 2022, a total of 323,745 PTB cases were notified in Zhejiang Province. Overall, the notification rate declined, with notable turning points in 2010 and 2019. Net drift analysis revealed an average annual decrease of 5.7% (95% CI: -6.8%, -4.6%; P
Document Type: article
File Description: electronic resource
Language: English
ISSN: 1471-2458
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/1471-2458
DOI: 10.1186/s12889-025-21770-z
Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/769b991cfbf64aadb07ed6e90b891427
Accession Number: edsdoj.769b991cfbf64aadb07ed6e90b891427
Database: Directory of Open Access Journals
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More Details
ISSN:14712458
DOI:10.1186/s12889-025-21770-z
Published in:BMC Public Health
Language:English