Nomogram for predicting rebleeding after initial endoscopic epinephrine injection monotherapy hemostasis in patients with peptic ulcer bleeding: a retrospective cohort study

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Title: Nomogram for predicting rebleeding after initial endoscopic epinephrine injection monotherapy hemostasis in patients with peptic ulcer bleeding: a retrospective cohort study
Authors: Shan He, Linlin Liu, Liu Ouyang, Jingsong Wang, Nonghua Lv, Youxiang Chen, Xu Shu, Zhenhua Zhu
Source: BMC Gastroenterology, Vol 22, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2022)
Publisher Information: BMC, 2022.
Publication Year: 2022
Collection: LCC:Diseases of the digestive system. Gastroenterology
Subject Terms: Epinephrine injection monotherapy, Rebleeding, Peptic ulcer bleeding, Risk factors, Nomogram, Diseases of the digestive system. Gastroenterology, RC799-869
More Details: Abstract Background Although the current guidelines recommend endoscopic combination therapy, endoscopic epinephrine injection (EI) monotherapy is still a simple, common and effective modality for treating peptic ulcer bleeding (PUB). However, the rebleeding risk after EI monotherapy is still high, and identifying rebleeding patients after EI monotherapy is unclear, which is highly important in clinical practice. This study aimed to identify risk factors and constructed a predictive nomogram related to rebleeding after EI monotherapy. Methods We consecutively and retrospectively analyzed 360 PUB patients who underwent EI monotherapy between March 2014 and July 2021 in our center. Then we identified independent risk factors associated with rebleeding after initial endoscopic EI monotherapy by multivariate logistic regression. A predictive nomogram was developed and validated based on the above predictors. Results Among all PUB patients enrolled, 51 (14.2%) had recurrent hemorrhage within 30 days after endoscopic EI monotherapy. After multivariate logistic regression, shock [odds ratio (OR) = 12.691, 95% confidence interval (CI) 5.129–31.399, p 100 beats/min) (OR = 2.610, 95% CI 1.098–6.203, p = 0.030), prolonged prothrombin time (PT > 13 s) (OR = 2.387, 95% CI 1.019–5.588, p = 0.045) and gastric ulcer (OR = 2.258, 95% CI 1.003–5.084, p = 0.049) were associated with an increased risk of rebleeding after an initial EI monotherapy treatment. A nomogram incorporating these independent high-risk factors showed good discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.876 (95% CI 0.817–0.934) (p
Document Type: article
File Description: electronic resource
Language: English
ISSN: 1471-230X
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/1471-230X
DOI: 10.1186/s12876-022-02448-x
Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/696c99472c2141649a45117f3123c5d8
Accession Number: edsdoj.696c99472c2141649a45117f3123c5d8
Database: Directory of Open Access Journals
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More Details
ISSN:1471230X
DOI:10.1186/s12876-022-02448-x
Published in:BMC Gastroenterology
Language:English