Bibliographic Details
Title: |
Nomogram for predicting rebleeding after initial endoscopic epinephrine injection monotherapy hemostasis in patients with peptic ulcer bleeding: a retrospective cohort study |
Authors: |
Shan He, Linlin Liu, Liu Ouyang, Jingsong Wang, Nonghua Lv, Youxiang Chen, Xu Shu, Zhenhua Zhu |
Source: |
BMC Gastroenterology, Vol 22, Iss 1, Pp 1-11 (2022) |
Publisher Information: |
BMC, 2022. |
Publication Year: |
2022 |
Collection: |
LCC:Diseases of the digestive system. Gastroenterology |
Subject Terms: |
Epinephrine injection monotherapy, Rebleeding, Peptic ulcer bleeding, Risk factors, Nomogram, Diseases of the digestive system. Gastroenterology, RC799-869 |
More Details: |
Abstract Background Although the current guidelines recommend endoscopic combination therapy, endoscopic epinephrine injection (EI) monotherapy is still a simple, common and effective modality for treating peptic ulcer bleeding (PUB). However, the rebleeding risk after EI monotherapy is still high, and identifying rebleeding patients after EI monotherapy is unclear, which is highly important in clinical practice. This study aimed to identify risk factors and constructed a predictive nomogram related to rebleeding after EI monotherapy. Methods We consecutively and retrospectively analyzed 360 PUB patients who underwent EI monotherapy between March 2014 and July 2021 in our center. Then we identified independent risk factors associated with rebleeding after initial endoscopic EI monotherapy by multivariate logistic regression. A predictive nomogram was developed and validated based on the above predictors. Results Among all PUB patients enrolled, 51 (14.2%) had recurrent hemorrhage within 30 days after endoscopic EI monotherapy. After multivariate logistic regression, shock [odds ratio (OR) = 12.691, 95% confidence interval (CI) 5.129–31.399, p 100 beats/min) (OR = 2.610, 95% CI 1.098–6.203, p = 0.030), prolonged prothrombin time (PT > 13 s) (OR = 2.387, 95% CI 1.019–5.588, p = 0.045) and gastric ulcer (OR = 2.258, 95% CI 1.003–5.084, p = 0.049) were associated with an increased risk of rebleeding after an initial EI monotherapy treatment. A nomogram incorporating these independent high-risk factors showed good discrimination, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.876 (95% CI 0.817–0.934) (p |
Document Type: |
article |
File Description: |
electronic resource |
Language: |
English |
ISSN: |
1471-230X |
Relation: |
https://doaj.org/toc/1471-230X |
DOI: |
10.1186/s12876-022-02448-x |
Access URL: |
https://doaj.org/article/696c99472c2141649a45117f3123c5d8 |
Accession Number: |
edsdoj.696c99472c2141649a45117f3123c5d8 |
Database: |
Directory of Open Access Journals |
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