Trends and projections of hypertensive heart disease burden in China: a comprehensive analysis from 1990 to 2030

Bibliographic Details
Title: Trends and projections of hypertensive heart disease burden in China: a comprehensive analysis from 1990 to 2030
Authors: Li-You Lian, Jia-Jia Lu, Ru-Jie Zheng
Source: BMC Public Health, Vol 25, Iss 1, Pp 1-9 (2025)
Publisher Information: BMC, 2025.
Publication Year: 2025
Collection: LCC:Public aspects of medicine
Subject Terms: Hypertensive heart disease, Hypertension, Global burden of disease, Projection, China, Trends, Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270
More Details: Abstract Background Hypertensive heart disease (HHD) is a significant public health concern in China. We intend to provide an updated estimate of the burden of HHD in China between 1990 and 2030. Methods HHD prevalence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) data were obtained from Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019 databases. Temporal trends of HHD from 1990 to 2019 were analyzed using Joinpoint regression models, and projections through 2030 were estimated by Bayesian age-period-cohort model. Results In 2020, an estimated 334,695 newly prevalent cases and 13,196 deaths due to HHD occurred in China. From 1990 to 2019, age-standardized rate of prevalence (ASPR), mortality (ASMR) and DALYs (ASDR) showed a decreasing trend. The behavior-related risk, diet risk and excessive BMI were the most common reasons of death in HHD. According to our prediction, ASMRs and ASDRs will continue to decrease from 2020 to 2030. However, ASPRs will have a moderate rise. Conclusion HHD continues to pose a significant threat to public health in China. To achieve the Healthy China 2030 objective, a tailored approach involving comprehensive strategies is essential. These strategies should include, but are not limited to, enhancing public awareness about hypertension through educational campaigns, improving access to healthcare services for early diagnosis and treatment, implementing policies to promote healthy lifestyles, such as regular physical activity and a balanced diet, and strengthening the surveillance and monitoring systems to track the prevalence and impact of HHD over time.
Document Type: article
File Description: electronic resource
Language: English
ISSN: 1471-2458
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/1471-2458
DOI: 10.1186/s12889-025-21313-6
Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/edde6737b9e34125bf29755a3fb616cc
Accession Number: edsdoj.6737b9e34125bf29755a3fb616cc
Database: Directory of Open Access Journals
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More Details
ISSN:14712458
DOI:10.1186/s12889-025-21313-6
Published in:BMC Public Health
Language:English