National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021

Bibliographic Details
Title: National and subnational short-term forecasting of COVID-19 in Germany and Poland during early 2021
Authors: Johannes Bracher, Daniel Wolffram, Jannik Deuschel, Konstantin Görgen, Jakob L. Ketterer, Alexander Ullrich, Sam Abbott, Maria V. Barbarossa, Dimitris Bertsimas, Sangeeta Bhatia, Marcin Bodych, Nikos I. Bosse, Jan Pablo Burgard, Lauren Castro, Geoffrey Fairchild, Jochen Fiedler, Jan Fuhrmann, Sebastian Funk, Anna Gambin, Krzysztof Gogolewski, Stefan Heyder, Thomas Hotz, Yuri Kheifetz, Holger Kirsten, Tyll Krueger, Ekaterina Krymova, Neele Leithäuser, Michael L. Li, Jan H. Meinke, Błażej Miasojedow, Isaac J. Michaud, Jan Mohring, Pierre Nouvellet, Jedrzej M. Nowosielski, Tomasz Ozanski, Maciej Radwan, Franciszek Rakowski, Markus Scholz, Saksham Soni, Ajitesh Srivastava, Tilmann Gneiting, Melanie Schienle
Source: Communications Medicine, Vol 2, Iss 1, Pp 1-17 (2022)
Publisher Information: Nature Portfolio, 2022.
Publication Year: 2022
Collection: LCC:Medicine
Subject Terms: Medicine
More Details: Bracher et al. compare 15 forecasting models of COVID-19 cases and deaths in Germany and Poland between January and mid-April 2021. Many, though not all, models outperform a simple baseline model up to four weeks ahead, with ensemble methods showing very good relative performance.
Document Type: article
File Description: electronic resource
Language: English
ISSN: 2730-664X
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2730-664X
DOI: 10.1038/s43856-022-00191-8
Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/538dfac0ac9e4eb3b14e8b4242363283
Accession Number: edsdoj.538dfac0ac9e4eb3b14e8b4242363283
Database: Directory of Open Access Journals
More Details
ISSN:2730664X
DOI:10.1038/s43856-022-00191-8
Published in:Communications Medicine
Language:English