Academic Journal
A New Treatment-integrated Prognostic Nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma
Title: | A New Treatment-integrated Prognostic Nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma |
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Authors: | Chia-Yang Hsu, Po-Hong Liu, Cheng-Yuan Hsia, Yun-Hsuan Lee, Teddy S. Nagaria, Rheun-Chuan Lee, Shu-Yein Ho, Ming-Chih Hou, Teh-Ia Huo |
Source: | Scientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2017) |
Publisher Information: | Nature Portfolio, 2017. |
Publication Year: | 2017 |
Collection: | LCC:Medicine LCC:Science |
Subject Terms: | Medicine, Science |
More Details: | Abstract The nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) has accurate outcome prediction. This study aims to propose a treatment-integrated nomogram derived from BCLC for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A total of 3,371 patients were randomly grouped into derivation (n = 2,247) and validation (n = 1,124) sets. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to generate the nomogram from tumor burden, cirrhosis, performance status (PS) and primary anti-cancer treatments. Concordance indices and calibration plots were used to evaluate the performance of nomogram. The derivation and validation sets had the same concordance index of 0.774 (95% confidence intervals: 0.717–0.826 and 0.656–0.874, respectively). In calibration plots, survival distributions predicted by the nomogram and observed by the Kaplan-Meier method were similar at 3- and 5-year for patients from derivation and validation sets. Validation group patients divided into 10 subgroups by the original and new treatment-integrated BCLC nomogram were used to evaluate the prognostic performance of integrating primary anti-cancer treatments. Compared to the nomogram of original BCLC system, the treatment-integrated nomogram of BCLC system had larger linear trend and likelihood ratio X2. In conclusion, based on the results of concordance index tests, integrating primary anti-cancer treatments into the BCLC system provides similar discriminatory ability. |
Document Type: | article |
File Description: | electronic resource |
Language: | English |
ISSN: | 2045-2322 |
Relation: | https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322 |
DOI: | 10.1038/s41598-017-08382-3 |
Access URL: | https://doaj.org/article/33e3881b6e8d44b9b638ccfbd025c112 |
Accession Number: | edsdoj.33e3881b6e8d44b9b638ccfbd025c112 |
Database: | Directory of Open Access Journals |
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ISSN: | 20452322 |
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DOI: | 10.1038/s41598-017-08382-3 |
Published in: | Scientific Reports |
Language: | English |