A New Treatment-integrated Prognostic Nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Bibliographic Details
Title: A New Treatment-integrated Prognostic Nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer System for Hepatocellular Carcinoma
Authors: Chia-Yang Hsu, Po-Hong Liu, Cheng-Yuan Hsia, Yun-Hsuan Lee, Teddy S. Nagaria, Rheun-Chuan Lee, Shu-Yein Ho, Ming-Chih Hou, Teh-Ia Huo
Source: Scientific Reports, Vol 7, Iss 1, Pp 1-10 (2017)
Publisher Information: Nature Portfolio, 2017.
Publication Year: 2017
Collection: LCC:Medicine
LCC:Science
Subject Terms: Medicine, Science
More Details: Abstract The nomogram of the Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) has accurate outcome prediction. This study aims to propose a treatment-integrated nomogram derived from BCLC for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). A total of 3,371 patients were randomly grouped into derivation (n = 2,247) and validation (n = 1,124) sets. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards model was used to generate the nomogram from tumor burden, cirrhosis, performance status (PS) and primary anti-cancer treatments. Concordance indices and calibration plots were used to evaluate the performance of nomogram. The derivation and validation sets had the same concordance index of 0.774 (95% confidence intervals: 0.717–0.826 and 0.656–0.874, respectively). In calibration plots, survival distributions predicted by the nomogram and observed by the Kaplan-Meier method were similar at 3- and 5-year for patients from derivation and validation sets. Validation group patients divided into 10 subgroups by the original and new treatment-integrated BCLC nomogram were used to evaluate the prognostic performance of integrating primary anti-cancer treatments. Compared to the nomogram of original BCLC system, the treatment-integrated nomogram of BCLC system had larger linear trend and likelihood ratio X2. In conclusion, based on the results of concordance index tests, integrating primary anti-cancer treatments into the BCLC system provides similar discriminatory ability.
Document Type: article
File Description: electronic resource
Language: English
ISSN: 2045-2322
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2045-2322
DOI: 10.1038/s41598-017-08382-3
Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/33e3881b6e8d44b9b638ccfbd025c112
Accession Number: edsdoj.33e3881b6e8d44b9b638ccfbd025c112
Database: Directory of Open Access Journals
Full text is not displayed to guests.
More Details
ISSN:20452322
DOI:10.1038/s41598-017-08382-3
Published in:Scientific Reports
Language:English