Predicting fracture risk for elderly osteoporosis patients by hybrid machine learning model

Bibliographic Details
Title: Predicting fracture risk for elderly osteoporosis patients by hybrid machine learning model
Authors: Menghan Liu, Xin Wei, Xiaodong Xing, Yunlong Cheng, Zicheng Ma, Jiwu Ren, Xiaofeng Gao, Ajing Xu
Source: Digital Health, Vol 10 (2024)
Publisher Information: SAGE Publishing, 2024.
Publication Year: 2024
Collection: LCC:Computer applications to medicine. Medical informatics
Subject Terms: Computer applications to medicine. Medical informatics, R858-859.7
More Details: Background and Objective Osteoporotic fractures significantly impact individuals's quality of life and exert substantial pressure on the social pension system. This study aims to develop prediction models for osteoporotic fracture and uncover potential risk factors based on Electronic Health Records (EHR). Methods Data of patients with osteoporosis were extracted from the EHR of Xinhua Hospital (July 2012–October 2017). Demographic and clinical features were used to develop prediction models based on 12 independent machine learning (ML) algorithms and 3 hybrid ML models. To facilitate a nuanced interpretation of the results, a comprehensive importance score was conceived, incorporating various perspectives to effectively discern and mine critical features from the data. Results A total of 8530 patients with osteoporosis were included for analysis, of which 1090 cases (12.8%) were fracture patients. The hybrid model that synergistically combines the Support Vector Machine (SVM) and XGBoost algorithms demonstrated the best predictive performance in terms of accuracy and precision (above 90%) among all benchmark models. Blood Calcium, Alkaline phosphatase (ALP), C-reactive Protein (CRP), Apolipoprotein A/B ratio and High-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) were statistically found to be associated with osteoporotic fracture. Conclusions The hybrid machine learning model can be a reliable tool for predicting the risk of fracture in patients with osteoporosis. It is expected to assist clinicians in identifying high-risk fracture patients and implementing early interventions.
Document Type: article
File Description: electronic resource
Language: English
ISSN: 2055-2076
20552076
Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2055-2076
DOI: 10.1177/20552076241257456
Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/1f4fee3fa6a741e298d9a0772487ecd6
Accession Number: edsdoj.1f4fee3fa6a741e298d9a0772487ecd6
Database: Directory of Open Access Journals
More Details
ISSN:20552076
DOI:10.1177/20552076241257456
Published in:Digital Health
Language:English