An Efficient Data Driven-Based Model for Prediction of the Total Sediment Load in Rivers

Bibliographic Details
Title: An Efficient Data Driven-Based Model for Prediction of the Total Sediment Load in Rivers
Authors: Roohollah Noori, Behzad Ghiasi, Sohrab Salehi, Mehdi Esmaeili Bidhendi, Amin Raeisi, Sadegh Partani, Rojin Meysami, Mehran Mahdian, Majid Hosseinzadeh, Soroush Abolfathi
Source: Hydrology, Vol 9, Iss 2, p 36 (2022)
Publisher Information: MDPI AG, 2022.
Publication Year: 2022
Collection: LCC:Science
Subject Terms: sediment transport, dimensional analysis, support vector regression, kernel-type function, principal component analysis, Science
More Details: Sediment load in fluvial systems is one of the critical factors shaping the river geomorphological and hydraulic characteristics. A detailed understanding of the total sediment load (TSL) is required for the protection of physical, environmental, and ecological functions of rivers. This study develops a robust methodological approach based on multiple linear regression (MLR) and support vector regression (SVR) models modified by principal component analysis (PCA) to predict the TSL in rivers. A database of sediment measurement from large-scale physical modelling tests with 4759 datapoints were used to develop the predictive model. A dimensional analysis was performed based on the literature, and ten dimensionless parameters were identified as the key drivers of the TSL in rivers. These drivers were converted to uncorrelated principal components to feed the MLR and SVR models (PCA-based MLR and PCA-based SVR models) developed within this study. A stepwise PCA-based MLR and a 10-fold PCA-based SVR model with different kernel-type functions were tuned to derive an accurate TSL predictive model. Our findings suggest that the PCA-based SVR model with the kernel-type radial basis function has the best predictive performance in terms of statistical error measures including the root-mean-square error normalized with the standard deviation (RMSE/StD) and the Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency (NSE), for the estimation of the TSL in rivers. The PCA-based MLR and PCA-based SVR models, with an overall RMSE/StD of 0.45 and 0.35, respectively, outperform the existing well-established empirical formulae for TSL estimation. The analysis of the results confirms the robustness of the proposed PCA-based SVR model for prediction of the cases with high concentration of sediments (NSE = 0.68), where the existing sediment estimation models usually have poor performance.
Document Type: article
File Description: electronic resource
Language: English
ISSN: 2306-5338
Relation: https://www.mdpi.com/2306-5338/9/2/36; https://doaj.org/toc/2306-5338
DOI: 10.3390/hydrology9020036
Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/138c1e6e3cb741dfa945d34c7d788ca0
Accession Number: edsdoj.138c1e6e3cb741dfa945d34c7d788ca0
Database: Directory of Open Access Journals
More Details
ISSN:23065338
DOI:10.3390/hydrology9020036
Published in:Hydrology
Language:English