Potential cost-savings of breastfeeding promotion to prevent breast cancer: a Monte Carlo simulation.
Title: | Potential cost-savings of breastfeeding promotion to prevent breast cancer: a Monte Carlo simulation. |
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Authors: | Hui, Lai Ling, Liao, Emily, Lian, Jin Xiao, So, Ching, Wu, Ting Ting, Wong, Carlos K. H., Loganathan, Tharani, Nelson, Edmund Anthony S. |
Source: | International Breastfeeding Journal; 2/24/2025, Vol. 20 Issue 1, p1-8, 8p |
Subject Terms: | BREAST tumor prevention, BREAST tumor treatment, COST control, BREASTFEEDING, MEDICAL care use, RESEARCH funding, BREAST tumors, LIFE expectancy, DECISION making, SIMULATION methods in education, BREASTFEEDING promotion, MATHEMATICAL models, THEORY, MEDICAL care costs, PEOPLE with disabilities |
Geographic Terms: | HONG Kong (China) |
Abstract: | Background: Breastfeeding protects mothers against breast cancer. Our study aimed to estimate the healthcare cost-savings resulting from a reduction in breast cancer attributed to an increase in the breastfeeding rate in Hong Kong. Methods: This is an economic evaluation. We constructed an individual-based Monte Carlo method to simulate with probabilistic sensitivity analysis the development of breast cancer over a woman's lifetime in a hypothetical birth cohort aged 20 years in 2018 (n = 33500) using best available data mainly from government statistics. We predicted the cases of, and deaths due to breast cancer in the base case (with the actual breastfeeding rate in 2018) and two hypothetical optimal scenarios (90% exclusive breastfeeding for six months or cumulative exclusive/partial breastfeeding for at least 12 months). The healthcare cost-savings, the number of deaths averted and the increase in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to the prevention of breast cancer attributed to a higher breastfeeding rate were then deduced, assuming an annual discount rate of 3%. Results: Increasing the proportion of parous women breastfeeding exclusively for six months from 26 to 90% averted 266 (95% CI 259, 273) or ~ 10% of all-stage breast cancer cases, 18 deaths (95% CI 17, 19) and 399 DALYs (95% CI 381, 416), over the lifetime of each annual cohort of women in Hong Kong. The lifetime medical costs that could be saved would be ~ USD3 million using 2018 prices. However cost-savings were 5-times less in another scenario where the cumulative partial/exclusive breastfeeding for 12 months in parous women is increased to 90% due to its weaker protection against breast cancer compared to exclusive breastfeeding. Conclusions: Promoting and protecting breastfeeding could lead to cost-savings for treating breast cancer in Hong Kong. Our analysis can inform the annual healthcare budget that could be allocated to promote exclusive breastfeeding for six months. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] |
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Database: | Complementary Index |
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Header | DbId: edb DbLabel: Complementary Index An: 183238551 RelevancyScore: 1082 AccessLevel: 6 PubType: Academic Journal PubTypeId: academicJournal PreciseRelevancyScore: 1082.12329101563 |
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Items | – Name: Title Label: Title Group: Ti Data: Potential cost-savings of breastfeeding promotion to prevent breast cancer: a Monte Carlo simulation. – Name: Author Label: Authors Group: Au Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Hui%2C+Lai+Ling%22">Hui, Lai Ling</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Liao%2C+Emily%22">Liao, Emily</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Lian%2C+Jin+Xiao%22">Lian, Jin Xiao</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22So%2C+Ching%22">So, Ching</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Wu%2C+Ting+Ting%22">Wu, Ting Ting</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Wong%2C+Carlos+K%2E+H%2E%22">Wong, Carlos K. H.</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Loganathan%2C+Tharani%22">Loganathan, Tharani</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Nelson%2C+Edmund+Anthony+S%2E%22">Nelson, Edmund Anthony S.</searchLink> – Name: TitleSource Label: Source Group: Src Data: International Breastfeeding Journal; 2/24/2025, Vol. 20 Issue 1, p1-8, 8p – Name: Subject Label: Subject Terms Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22BREAST+tumor+prevention%22">BREAST tumor prevention</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22BREAST+tumor+treatment%22">BREAST tumor treatment</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22COST+control%22">COST control</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22BREASTFEEDING%22">BREASTFEEDING</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22MEDICAL+care+use%22">MEDICAL care use</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22RESEARCH+funding%22">RESEARCH funding</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22BREAST+tumors%22">BREAST tumors</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22LIFE+expectancy%22">LIFE expectancy</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22DECISION+making%22">DECISION making</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22SIMULATION+methods+in+education%22">SIMULATION methods in education</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22BREASTFEEDING+promotion%22">BREASTFEEDING promotion</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22MATHEMATICAL+models%22">MATHEMATICAL models</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22THEORY%22">THEORY</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22MEDICAL+care+costs%22">MEDICAL care costs</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22PEOPLE+with+disabilities%22">PEOPLE with disabilities</searchLink> – Name: SubjectGeographic Label: Geographic Terms Group: Su Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22HONG+Kong+%28China%29%22">HONG Kong (China)</searchLink> – Name: Abstract Label: Abstract Group: Ab Data: Background: Breastfeeding protects mothers against breast cancer. Our study aimed to estimate the healthcare cost-savings resulting from a reduction in breast cancer attributed to an increase in the breastfeeding rate in Hong Kong. Methods: This is an economic evaluation. We constructed an individual-based Monte Carlo method to simulate with probabilistic sensitivity analysis the development of breast cancer over a woman's lifetime in a hypothetical birth cohort aged 20 years in 2018 (n = 33500) using best available data mainly from government statistics. We predicted the cases of, and deaths due to breast cancer in the base case (with the actual breastfeeding rate in 2018) and two hypothetical optimal scenarios (90% exclusive breastfeeding for six months or cumulative exclusive/partial breastfeeding for at least 12 months). The healthcare cost-savings, the number of deaths averted and the increase in disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) due to the prevention of breast cancer attributed to a higher breastfeeding rate were then deduced, assuming an annual discount rate of 3%. Results: Increasing the proportion of parous women breastfeeding exclusively for six months from 26 to 90% averted 266 (95% CI 259, 273) or ~ 10% of all-stage breast cancer cases, 18 deaths (95% CI 17, 19) and 399 DALYs (95% CI 381, 416), over the lifetime of each annual cohort of women in Hong Kong. The lifetime medical costs that could be saved would be ~ USD3 million using 2018 prices. However cost-savings were 5-times less in another scenario where the cumulative partial/exclusive breastfeeding for 12 months in parous women is increased to 90% due to its weaker protection against breast cancer compared to exclusive breastfeeding. Conclusions: Promoting and protecting breastfeeding could lead to cost-savings for treating breast cancer in Hong Kong. Our analysis can inform the annual healthcare budget that could be allocated to promote exclusive breastfeeding for six months. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR] – Name: Abstract Label: Group: Ab Data: <i>Copyright of International Breastfeeding Journal is the property of BioMed Central and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.) |
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RecordInfo | BibRecord: BibEntity: Identifiers: – Type: doi Value: 10.1186/s13006-024-00689-y Languages: – Code: eng Text: English PhysicalDescription: Pagination: PageCount: 8 StartPage: 1 Subjects: – SubjectFull: HONG Kong (China) Type: general – SubjectFull: BREAST tumor prevention Type: general – SubjectFull: BREAST tumor treatment Type: general – SubjectFull: COST control Type: general – SubjectFull: BREASTFEEDING Type: general – SubjectFull: MEDICAL care use Type: general – SubjectFull: RESEARCH funding Type: general – SubjectFull: BREAST tumors Type: general – SubjectFull: LIFE expectancy Type: general – SubjectFull: DECISION making Type: general – SubjectFull: SIMULATION methods in education Type: general – SubjectFull: BREASTFEEDING promotion Type: general – SubjectFull: MATHEMATICAL models Type: general – SubjectFull: THEORY Type: general – SubjectFull: MEDICAL care costs Type: general – SubjectFull: PEOPLE with disabilities Type: general Titles: – TitleFull: Potential cost-savings of breastfeeding promotion to prevent breast cancer: a Monte Carlo simulation. Type: main BibRelationships: HasContributorRelationships: – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Hui, Lai Ling – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Liao, Emily – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Lian, Jin Xiao – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: So, Ching – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Wu, Ting Ting – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Wong, Carlos K. H. – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Loganathan, Tharani – PersonEntity: Name: NameFull: Nelson, Edmund Anthony S. IsPartOfRelationships: – BibEntity: Dates: – D: 24 M: 02 Text: 2/24/2025 Type: published Y: 2025 Identifiers: – Type: issn-print Value: 17464358 Numbering: – Type: volume Value: 20 – Type: issue Value: 1 Titles: – TitleFull: International Breastfeeding Journal Type: main |
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