A Bayesian sequential soft classification problem for a Brownian motion's drift

Bibliographic Details
Title: A Bayesian sequential soft classification problem for a Brownian motion's drift
Authors: Campbell, Steven, Zhang, Yuchong
Publication Year: 2025
Collection: Mathematics
Statistics
Subject Terms: Mathematics - Probability, Mathematics - Statistics Theory, 60G35, 60G40, 62L10, 62L15
More Details: In this note we introduce and solve a soft classification version of the famous Bayesian sequential testing problem for a Brownian motion's drift. We establish that the value function is the unique non-trivial solution to a free boundary problem, and that the continuation region is characterized by two boundaries which may coincide if the observed signal is not strong enough. By exploiting the solution structure we are able to characterize the functional dependence of the stopping boundaries on the signal-to-noise ratio. We illustrate this relationship and compare our stopping boundaries to those derived in the classical setting.
Comment: 12 pages, 2 figures
Document Type: Working Paper
Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2501.11314
Accession Number: edsarx.2501.11314
Database: arXiv
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