The role of the European small ruminant dairy sector in stabilising global temperatures: lessons from GWP* warming-equivalent emission metrics.

Bibliographic Details
Title: The role of the European small ruminant dairy sector in stabilising global temperatures: lessons from GWP* warming-equivalent emission metrics.
Authors: del Prado, Agustin, Manzano, Pablo, Pardo, Guillermo
Source: Journal of Dairy Research; Feb2021, Vol. 88 Issue 1, p8-15, 8p
Subject Terms: DAIRY processing, RUMINANTS, GOATS, GOAT diseases, CLIMATE change, GLOBAL warming, ANIMAL products
Geographic Terms: EUROPE
Abstract: Recent calls advocate that a huge reduction in the consumption of animal products (including dairy) is essential to mitigate climate change and stabilise global warming below the 1.5 and 2°C targets. The Paris Agreement states that to stabilise temperatures we must reach a balance between anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by sinks of greenhouse gases (GHG) in the second half of this century. Consequently, many countries have adopted overall GHG reduction targets (e.g. EU, at least 40% by 2030 compared to 1990). However, using conventional metric-equivalent emissions (CO2-e GWP100) as the basis to account for emissions does not result in capturing the effect on atmospheric warming of changing emission rates from short-lived GHG (e.g. methane: CH4), which are the main source of GHG emissions by small ruminants. This shortcoming could be solved by using warming-equivalent emissions (CO2-we, GWP*), which can accurately link annual GHG emission rates to its warming effect in the atmosphere. In our study, using this GWP* methodology and different modelling approaches, we first examined the historical (1990–2018) contribution of European dairy small ruminant systems to additional atmosphere warming levels and then studied different emission target scenarios for 2100. These scenarios allow us to envision the necessary reduction of GHG emissions from Europe's dairy small ruminants to achieve a stable impact on global temperatures, i.e. to be climatically neutral. Our analysis showed that, using this type of approach, the whole European sheep and goat dairy sector seems not to have contributed to additional warming in the period 1990–2018. Considering each subsector separately, increases in dairy goat production has led to some level of additional warming into the atmosphere, but these have been compensated by larger emission reductions in the dairy sheep sector. The estimations of warming for future scenarios suggest that to achieve climate neutrality, understood as not adding additional warming to the atmosphere, modest GHG reductions of sheep and goat GHG would be required (e.g. via feed additives). This reduction would be even lower if potential soil organic carbon (SOC) from associated pastures is considered. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
Copyright of Journal of Dairy Research is the property of Cambridge University Press and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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  Data: The role of the European small ruminant dairy sector in stabilising global temperatures: lessons from GWP* warming-equivalent emission metrics.
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22del+Prado%2C+Agustin%22">del Prado, Agustin</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Manzano%2C+Pablo%22">Manzano, Pablo</searchLink><br /><searchLink fieldCode="AR" term="%22Pardo%2C+Guillermo%22">Pardo, Guillermo</searchLink>
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  Data: Journal of Dairy Research; Feb2021, Vol. 88 Issue 1, p8-15, 8p
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  Data: <searchLink fieldCode="DE" term="%22EUROPE%22">EUROPE</searchLink>
– Name: Abstract
  Label: Abstract
  Group: Ab
  Data: Recent calls advocate that a huge reduction in the consumption of animal products (including dairy) is essential to mitigate climate change and stabilise global warming below the 1.5 and 2°C targets. The Paris Agreement states that to stabilise temperatures we must reach a balance between anthropogenic emissions by sources and removals by sinks of greenhouse gases (GHG) in the second half of this century. Consequently, many countries have adopted overall GHG reduction targets (e.g. EU, at least 40% by 2030 compared to 1990). However, using conventional metric-equivalent emissions (CO<subscript>2</subscript>-e GWP<subscript>100</subscript>) as the basis to account for emissions does not result in capturing the effect on atmospheric warming of changing emission rates from short-lived GHG (e.g. methane: CH<subscript>4</subscript>), which are the main source of GHG emissions by small ruminants. This shortcoming could be solved by using warming-equivalent emissions (CO<subscript>2</subscript>-we, GWP*), which can accurately link annual GHG emission rates to its warming effect in the atmosphere. In our study, using this GWP* methodology and different modelling approaches, we first examined the historical (1990–2018) contribution of European dairy small ruminant systems to additional atmosphere warming levels and then studied different emission target scenarios for 2100. These scenarios allow us to envision the necessary reduction of GHG emissions from Europe's dairy small ruminants to achieve a stable impact on global temperatures, i.e. to be climatically neutral. Our analysis showed that, using this type of approach, the whole European sheep and goat dairy sector seems not to have contributed to additional warming in the period 1990–2018. Considering each subsector separately, increases in dairy goat production has led to some level of additional warming into the atmosphere, but these have been compensated by larger emission reductions in the dairy sheep sector. The estimations of warming for future scenarios suggest that to achieve climate neutrality, understood as not adding additional warming to the atmosphere, modest GHG reductions of sheep and goat GHG would be required (e.g. via feed additives). This reduction would be even lower if potential soil organic carbon (SOC) from associated pastures is considered. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
– Name: Abstract
  Label:
  Group: Ab
  Data: <i>Copyright of Journal of Dairy Research is the property of Cambridge University Press and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract.</i> (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)
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    Identifiers:
      – Type: doi
        Value: 10.1017/S0022029921000157
    Languages:
      – Code: eng
        Text: English
    PhysicalDescription:
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        PageCount: 8
        StartPage: 8
    Subjects:
      – SubjectFull: EUROPE
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: DAIRY processing
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: RUMINANTS
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: GOATS
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: GOAT diseases
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: CLIMATE change
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: GLOBAL warming
        Type: general
      – SubjectFull: ANIMAL products
        Type: general
    Titles:
      – TitleFull: The role of the European small ruminant dairy sector in stabilising global temperatures: lessons from GWP* warming-equivalent emission metrics.
        Type: main
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          Name:
            NameFull: del Prado, Agustin
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Manzano, Pablo
      – PersonEntity:
          Name:
            NameFull: Pardo, Guillermo
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            – D: 01
              M: 02
              Text: Feb2021
              Type: published
              Y: 2021
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              Value: 00220299
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              Value: 88
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            – TitleFull: Journal of Dairy Research
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