Multi-Objective Aircraft Robust Trajectory Optimization Considering Various Predictability Metrics Under Uncertain Wind

Authors: Chang, Z., Hu, M., Zhang, Y.

Source: IEEE Access Access, IEEE. 11:104333-104346 2023

Ensemble versus deterministic lightning forecast performance at a convective scale over Indian region

Authors: Prasad, S. Kiran, Saha, Kumarjit, Shanker, Gauri, Routray, Ashish ^⁎, Sarkar, Abhijit, Prasad, V.S.

Source: In Atmospheric Research 15 December 2024 312

A stochastic model of the model error to improve the ICON‑D2‑EPS ensemble forecasts

Authors: Martin Sprengel, Christoph Gebhardt

Source: Meteorologische Zeitschrift, Vol 32, Iss 5, Pp 395-412 (2023)

Subject Terms: ensemble prediction system, model error, stochastic differential equation, reliability, crps, numerical weather prediction, Meteorology. Climatology, QC851-999

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/0941-2948

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/f35a2e5f4fed456080f42e4ffa31ac5a

Comparison of different global ensemble prediction systems for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting

Authors: Deyu Lu, Ruiqiang Ding, Jiangyu Mao, Quanjia Zhong, Qian Zou

Source: Atmospheric Science Letters, Vol 25, Iss 4, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)

Subject Terms: global ensemble prediction system (GEPS), prediction performance comparison, rapid intensification (RI), the interactive grand global ensemble (TIGGE), tropical cyclone (TC), Meteorology. Climatology, QC851-999

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/1530-261X

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/10da4746f3584ea2a6cdbb2116d363aa

A self-enforcing neural network as decision support system for air traffic control based on probabilistic weather forecasts

Authors: Kluver, Christina, Kluver, Jurgen, Zinkhan, Dirk

Source: 2017 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN) Neural Networks (IJCNN), 2017 International Joint Conference on. :729-736 May, 2017

Relation: 2017 International Joint Conference on Neural Networks (IJCNN)

Effect of Horizontal Resolution on a Meso‐β‐Scale Vortex Simulation in an Extreme Rainstorm on 22 May 2020 Over South China: A Contrastive Study Based on Different‐Resolution Ensembles

Authors: Guanshun Zhang, Xubin Zhang, Zhaoli Yang

Source: Earth and Space Science, Vol 11, Iss 1, Pp n/a-n/a (2024)

Subject Terms: extreme rainstorm, ensemble prediction system, horizontal resolution, meso‐β‐scale convective vortex, potential vorticity, Astronomy, QB1-991, Geology, QE1-996.5

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2333-5084

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/40ff263f543041b0bd9641a737efa253

The influence of observational probability of precipitation on the verification of probability of forecasted precipitation

Authors: Linna ZHAO, Yue CAO, Dan QI, Shu LU

Source: 暴雨灾害, Vol 41, Iss 6, Pp 701-711 (2022)

Subject Terms: precipitation, probability forecast, observation probability, ensemble prediction system, brier score, Meteorology. Climatology, QC851-999

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2097-2164

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/8ea9458f19a744feaa7d9e4ae6bf322d

Ensemble forecast experiments of summertime sea ice in the Arctic Ocean using the TOPAZ4 ice-ocean data assimilation system

Authors: Nakanowatari, T. ^{a, ∗}, Xie, J. ^b, Bertino, L. ^b, Matsueda, M. ^c, Yamagami, A. ^d, Inoue, J. ^e

Source: In Environmental Research June 2022 209

Verification of tropical cyclones (TC) wind structure forecasts from global NWP models and ensemble prediction systems (EPSs)

Authors: Xiaoqin Lu, Wai Kin Wong, Kin Chung Au-Yeung, Chun Wing Choy, Hui Yu

Source: Tropical Cyclone Research and Review, Vol 11, Iss 2, Pp 88-102 (2022)

Subject Terms: Verification, Tropical cyclones wind structure forecasts, Numerical weather prediction models, Ensemble prediction system, Physical geography, GB3-5030, Environmental sciences, GE1-350

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2225603222000145; https://doaj.org/toc/2225-6032

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Examining the Predictability of Tropical Cyclogenesis over the East Sea of Vietnam through the Ensemble-Based Data Assimilation System

Authors: Dao Nguyen-Quynh Hoa, Tran-Tan Tien, Nguyen-Y Nhu, Thi Lan Dao

Source: Atmosphere, Vol 14, Iss 11, p 1671 (2023)

Subject Terms: tropical cyclogenesis, ensemble prediction system, data assimilation, Meteorology. Climatology, QC851-999

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/11/1671; https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4433

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/9a1f0139e193430da2bbfd600a79315b

Dynamic downscaling ensemble forecast of an extreme rainstorm event in South China by COSMO EPS

Authors: Luying Ji, Xiefei Zhi, Bernd Schalge, Klaus Stephan, Zhifang Wu, Chong Wu, Clemens Simmer, Shoupeng Zhu

Source: Frontiers in Earth Science, Vol 10 (2022)

Subject Terms: extreme weather events, regional high-resolution model, ensemble prediction system, latent heat nudging, dynamic downscaling, Science

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/feart.2022.969742/full; https://doaj.org/toc/2296-6463

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On the configuration of a regional Arctic Numerical Weather Prediction system to maximize predictive capacity

Authors: Morten KØltzow, Rafael Grote, Andrew Singleton

Source: Tellus: Series A, Dynamic Meteorology and Oceanography, Vol 73, Iss 1, Pp 1-18 (2021)

Subject Terms: arctic regional numerical weather prediction, operational forecast quality, ensemble prediction system, high-resolution, initialization, Oceanography, GC1-1581, Meteorology. Climatology, QC851-999

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/1600-0870

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/b068e18694b2417c824fb413c7a6253c

Objective Precipitation Type Forecast Based on ECMWF Ensemble Prediction Product

Authors: Dong Quan, Zhang Feng, Zong Zhiping

Source: 应用气象学报, Vol 31, Iss 5, Pp 527-542 (2020)

Subject Terms: ensemble prediction system, precipitation type, approach of optimal probability threshold, Meteorology. Climatology, QC851-999

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/1001-7313

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/03a12ffcf0164ed39b66bea284c6c9ee

Fog probabilistic forecasting using an ensemble prediction system at six airports in Iran for 10 fog events

Authors: R. Pahlavan, M. Moradi, S. Tajbakhsh, M. Azadi, M. Rahnama

Source: Meteorological Applications, Vol 28, Iss 6, Pp n/a-n/a (2021)

Subject Terms: advection fog, CBL fog, ensemble prediction system, fog, horizontal visibility, radiation fog, Meteorology. Climatology, QC851-999

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/1350-4827; https://doaj.org/toc/1469-8080

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/85b2314d128146edbc5c11ddfd946717

An Ensemble Prediction System Based on Artificial Neural Networks and Deep Learning Methods for Deterministic and Probabilistic Carbon Price Forecasting

Authors: Yi Yang, Honggang Guo, Yu Jin, Aiyi Song

Source: Frontiers in Environmental Science, Vol 9 (2021)

Subject Terms: carbon price forecasting, ensemble prediction system, deep learning methods, error distribution function, multiobjective optimization algorithm, Environmental sciences, GE1-350

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Relation: https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fenvs.2021.740093/full; https://doaj.org/toc/2296-665X

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The Performance of ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System for European Extreme Fires: Portugal/Monchique in 2018

Authors: Rita Durão, Catarina Alonso, Célia Gouveia

Source: Atmosphere, Vol 13, Iss 8, p 1239 (2022)

Subject Terms: ensemble prediction system, meteorological fire danger, fire intensity, Meteorology. Climatology, QC851-999

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Relation: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/13/8/1239; https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4433

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/9861843bc8f8474dadedd3afaf406176

Probabilistic Forecasts, Calibration and Sharpness

Authors: Gneiting, Tilmann, Raftery, Adrian E.

Source: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society. Series B (Statistical Methodology), 2007 Jan 01. 69(2), 243-268.

Access URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/4623266

Support Vector Quantile Regression for the Post-Processing of Meso-Scale Ensemble Prediction System Data in the Kanto Region: Solar Power Forecast Reducing Overestimation

Authors: Takahiro Takamatsu, Hideaki Ohtake, Takashi Oozeki

Source: Energies, Vol 15, Iss 4, p 1330 (2022)

Subject Terms: support vector regression, quantile regression, ensemble prediction system, solar power forecast, machine learning, numerical weather prediction, Technology

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Relation: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/4/1330; https://doaj.org/toc/1996-1073

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Application of Bias Correction to Improve WRF Ensemble Wind Speed Forecast

Authors: Chin-Cheng Tsai, Jing-Shan Hong, Pao-Liang Chang, Yi-Ru Chen, Yi-Jui Su, Chih-Hsin Li

Source: Atmosphere, Vol 12, Iss 12, p 1688 (2021)

Subject Terms: ensemble prediction system, wind speed, bias correction, bias adjustment, decaying average, probability matched mean, Meteorology. Climatology, QC851-999

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Relation: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/12/12/1688; https://doaj.org/toc/2073-4433

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Real-Time Tephra Detection and Dispersal Forecasting by a Ground-Based Weather Radar

Authors: Magfira Syarifuddin, Susanna F. Jenkins, Ratih Indri Hapsari, Qingyuan Yang, Benoit Taisne, Andika Bayu Aji, Nurnaning Aisyah, Hanggar Ganara Mawandha, Djoko Legono

Source: Remote Sensing, Vol 13, Iss 24, p 5174 (2021)

Subject Terms: tephra, ground-based weather radar, Bayesian approach, nowcasting, ensemble prediction system, Science

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Relation: https://www.mdpi.com/2072-4292/13/24/5174; https://doaj.org/toc/2072-4292

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/5763de54b23047a2a18b73b34dac1605