A statistical physics and dynamical systems perspective on geophysical extreme events

Authors: Faranda, Davide, Messori, Gabriele, Alberti, Tommaso, Alvarez-Castro, Carmen, Caby, Théophile, Cavicchia, Leone, Coppola, Erika, Donner, Reik, Dubrulle, Bérengère, Galfi, Vera Melinda, Lembo, Valerio, Noyelle, Robin, Spagnolo, Bernardo, Vaienti, Sandro, Valenti, Davide, Yiou, Pascal, Wormell, Caroline

Subject Terms: Physics - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, Mathematics - Dynamical Systems, Nonlinear Sciences - Chaotic Dynamics

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2309.15393

Extreme heatwave sampling and prediction with analog Markov chain and comparisons with deep learning

Authors: Miloshevich, George, Lucente, Dario, Yiou, Pascal, Bouchet, Freddy

Subject Terms: Physics - Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics, Computer Science - Machine Learning, Physics - Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2307.09060

Anthropogenic Climate Change Will Intensify European Explosive Storms Analogous to Alex, Eunice, and Xynthia.

Authors: Ginesta, Mireia¹, mireia.ginesta-fernandez@lsce.ipsl.fr, Flaounas, Emmanouil², Yiou, Pascal¹, Faranda, Davide^1,3,4

Source: Journal of Climate; Nov2024, Vol. 37 Issue 21, p5427-5452, 26p

How could 50 °C be reached in Paris: Analyzing the CMIP6 ensemble to design storylines for adaptation

Authors: Yiou, Pascal, Vautard, Robert, Robin, Yoann, de Noblet-Ducoudré, Nathalie, D’Andrea, Fabio, Noyelle, Robin

Source: In Climate Services December 2024 36

Probability distributions for analog-to-target distances

Authors: Platzer, Paul, Yiou, Pascal, Naveau, Philippe, Filipot, Jean-François, Thiebaut, Maxime, Tandeo, Pierre

Subject Terms: Mathematics - Dynamical Systems, Statistics - Applications, Statistics - Machine Learning

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2101.10640

Simulating the Western North America heatwave of 2021 with analogue importance sampling

Authors: Pons, Flavio Maria Emanuele, Yiou, Pascal, Jézéquel, Aglaé, Messori, Gabriele

Source: In Weather and Climate Extremes March 2024 43

Extreme value distributions of observation recurrences

Authors: Caby, Théophile, Faranda, Davide, Vaienti, Sandro, Yiou, Pascal

Subject Terms: Mathematics - Dynamical Systems, Nonlinear Sciences - Chaotic Dynamics

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2002.10873

Generalized dimensions, large deviations and the distribution of rare events

Authors: Caby, Théophile, Faranda, Davide, Mantica, Giorgio, Vaienti, Sandro, Yiou, Pascal

Subject Terms: Mathematics - Dynamical Systems

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/1812.00036

Investigating the typicality of the dynamics leading to extreme temperatures in the IPSL-CM6A-LR model.

Authors: Noyelle, Robin¹ (AUTHOR) robin.noyelle@lsce.ipsl.fr, Yiou, Pascal¹ (AUTHOR), Faranda, Davide^1,2,3 (AUTHOR)

Source: Climate Dynamics. Feb2024, Vol. 62 Issue 2, p1329-1357. 29p.

Subject Terms: *LARGE deviation theory, *CLIMATE extremes, *ATMOSPHERIC models, *TEMPERATURE, *ATMOSPHERIC circulation

Geographic Terms: EUROPE

Seasonal circulation regimes in the North Atlantic: Towards a new seasonality

Authors: Breton, Florentin, Vrac, Mathieu, Yiou, Pascal, Vaittinada Ayar, Pradeebane, Jézéquel, Aglaé

Source: International journal of climatology. 42(11):5848-5870

Availability: http://explore.bl.uk/primo_library/libweb/action/display.do?tabs=detailsTab&gathStatTab=true&ct=display&fn=search&doc=ETOCvdc_100169026830.0x000001&indx=1&recIds=ETOCvdc_100169026830.0x000001

EXPLAINING EXTREME EVENTS OF 2016 : From A Climate Perspective

Authors: Herring, Stephanie C., Christidi, Nikolaos, Hoell, Andrew, Kossin, James P., Schreck, Carl J., Stott, Peter A., Webb, Robert S., Werner, Francisco E., Knutson, Thomas R., Kam, Jonghun, Zeng, Fanrong, Wittenberg, Andrew T., Brainard, Russell E., Oliver, Thomas, McPhaden, Michael J., Cohen, Anne, Venegas, Robert o, Heenan, Adel, Vargas-Ángel, Bernardo, Rotjan, Randi, Mangubhai, Sangeeta, Flint, Elizabeth, Hunter, Susan A., Oliver, Eric C. J., Perkins-Kirkpatrick, Sarah E., Holbrook, Neil J., Bindoff, Nathaniel L., Tett, Simon F. B., Falk, Alexander, Rogers, Megan, Spuler, Fiona, Turner, Calum, Wainwright, Joshua, Dimdore-Miles, Oscar, Knight, Sam, Freychet, Nicolas, Mineter, Michael J., Lehmann, Caroline E. R., Martins, Eduardo S. P. R., Coelho, Caio A. S., Haarsma, Rein, Otto, Friederike E. L., King, Andrew D., van Oldenborgh, Geert Jan, Kew, Sarah, Philip, Sjoukje, Vasconcelos, Francisco C., Cullen, Heidi, Jézéquel, Aglaé, Yiou, Pascal, Radanovics, Sabine, Vautard, Robert, Sippel, Sebastian, El-Madany, Tarek S., Migliavacca, Mirco, Mahecha, Miguel D., Carrara, Arnaud, Flach, Milan, Kaminski, Thomas, Otto, Friederike E. L., Thonicke, Kirsten, Vossbeck, Michael, Reichstein, Markus, Yuan, Xing, Wang, Linying, Wood, Eric F., Funk, Chris, Davenport, Frank, Harrison, Laura, Magadzire, Tamuka, Galu, Gideon, Artan, Guleid A., Shukla, Shraddhanand, Korecha, Diriba, Indeje, Matayo, Pomposi, Catherine, Macharia, Denis, Husak, Gregory, Nsadisa, Faka Dieudonne, Imada, Yukiko, Shiogama, Hideo, Takahashi, Chiharu, Watanabe, Masahiro, Mori, Masato, Kamae, Youichi, Maeda, Shuhei, Sun, Qiaohong, Miao, Chiyuan, Zhou, Chunlüe, Wang, Kaicun, Qi, Dan, Yuan, Xing, Wang, Shanshan, Hu, Zeng-Zhen, Qian, Cheng, Wang, Jun, Dong, Siyan, Yin, Hong, Burke, Claire, Ciavarella, Andrew, Dong, Buwen, Freychet, Nicolas, Lott, Fraser C., Tett, Simon F. B., Sun, Ying, Hu, Ting, Zhang, Xuebin, Wan, Hui, Stott, Peter, Lu, Chunhui, Christidis, Nikolaos, Manomaiphiboon, Kasemsan, Ciavarella, Andrew, Stott, Peter A., Hope, Pandora, Lim, Eun-Pa, Hendon, Harry, Wang, Guomin, Lewis, Sophie C., Mallela, Jennie, Grose, Michael R., Black, Mitchell, Risbey, James S., Uhe, Peter, Hope, Pandora K., Haustein, Karsten, Mitchell, Dann, Stott, Peter A., Christidis, Nikos, Herring, Stephanie C., Hoell, Andrew, Kossin, James P., Schreck, Carl J.

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2018 Jan 01. 99(1), Si-S157.

Access URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/26639334

Simulating record-shattering cold winters of the beginning of the 21st century in France.

Authors: Cadiou, Camille, Yiou, Pascal

Source: Weather & Climate Dynamics; 2025, Vol. 6 Issue 1, p1-15, 15p

Subject Terms: ATMOSPHERIC circulation, COLD (Temperature), CLIMATE change, GLOBAL warming, TWENTY-first century

Quantifying CMIP6 model uncertainties in extreme precipitation projections

Authors: John, Amal, Douville, Hervé, Ribes, Aurélien, Yiou, Pascal

Source: In Weather and Climate Extremes June 2022 36

Compound Climate Events and Extremes in the Midlatitudes : Dynamics, Simulation, and Statistical Characterization

Authors: Messori, Gabriele, Bevacqua, Emanuele, Caballero, Rodrigo, Coumou, Dim, De Luca, Paolo, Faranda, Davide, Kornhuber, Kai, Martius, Olivia, Pons, Flavio, Raymond, Colin, Ye, Kunhui, Yiou, Pascal, Zscheischler, Jakob

Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 2021 Apr 01. 102(4), E774-E781.

Access URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/27214396

A methodology for attributing severe extratropical cyclones to climate change based on reanalysis data: the case study of storm Alex 2020.

Authors: Ginesta, Mireia¹ (AUTHOR) Mireia.Ginesta-Fernandez@lsce.ipsl.fr, Yiou, Pascal¹ (AUTHOR), Messori, Gabriele^2,3 (AUTHOR), Faranda, Davide^1,4,5 (AUTHOR)

Source: Climate Dynamics. Jul2023, Vol. 61 Issue 1/2, p229-253. 25p.

Subject Terms: *CLIMATE change, *CYCLONES, *SPRING, *AUTUMN, *EUCLIDEAN distance, *COUNTERFACTUALS (Logic)

Geographic Terms: NORTHERN Italy, SOUTHERN France

Singular Extreme Events and Their Attribution to Climate Change : A Climate Service–Centered Analysis

Authors: Jézéquel, Aglaé, Dépoues, Vivian, Guillemot, Hélène, Rajaud, Amélie, Trolliet, Mélodie, Vrac, Mathieu, Vanderlinden, Jean-Paul, Yiou, Pascal

Source: Weather, Climate, and Society, 2020 Jan 01. 12(1), 89-101.

Access URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/26892933

The European 2016/17 Drought

Authors: García-Herrera, Ricardo, Garrido-Perez, Jose M., Barriopedro, David, Ordóñez, Carlos, Vicente-Serrano, Sergio M., Nieto, Raquel, Gimeno, Luis, Sorí, Rogert, Yiou, Pascal

Source: Journal of Climate, 2019 Jun 01. 32(11), 3169-3187.

Access URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/26662650

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AMOC and summer sea ice as key drivers of the spread in mid-holocene winter temperature patterns over Europe in PMIP3 models

Authors: Găinuşă-Bogdan, Alina, Swingedouw, Didier, Yiou, Pascal, Cattiaux, Julien, Codron, Francis, Michel, Simon

Source: In Global and Planetary Change January 2020 184

Comparing scientists and delegates perspectives on the use of extreme event attribution for loss and damage

Authors: Jézéquel, Aglaé, Yiou, Pascal, Vanderlinden, Jean-Paul

Source: In Weather and Climate Extremes December 2019 26