Renewal equations for vector-borne diseases

Authors: Mills, Cathal, Alrefae, Tarek, Hart, William S., Kraemer, Moritz U. G., Parag, Kris V., Thompson, Robin N., Donnelly, Christl A., Lambert, Ben

Subject Terms: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2409.18726

Modeling vaccination prioritization strategies for post-pandemic COVID-19 in the Republic of Korea accounting for under-reporting and age-structure

Authors: Jang, Geunsoo ^a, Kim, Jihyeon ^b, Thompson, Robin N. ^c, Lee, Hyojung ^{b, ⁎}

Source: In Journal of Infection and Public Health April 2025 18(4)

Key Questions for Modelling COVID-19 Exit Strategies

Authors: Thompson, Robin N, Hollingsworth, T Deirdre, Isham, Valerie, Arribas-Bel, Daniel, Ashby, Ben, Britton, Tom, Challoner, Peter, Chappell, Lauren H K, Clapham, Hannah, Cunniffe, Nik J, Dawid, A Philip, Donnelly, Christl A, Eggo, Rosalind, Funk, Sebastian, Gilbert, Nigel, Gog, Julia R, Glendinning, Paul, Hart, William S, Heesterbeek, Hans, House, Thomas, Keeling, Matt, Kiss, Istvan Z, Kretzschmar, Mirjam, Lloyd, Alun L, McBryde, Emma S, McCaw, James M, Miller, Joel C, McKinley, Trevelyan J, Morris, Martina, ONeill, Philip D, Pearson, Carl A B, Parag, Kris V, Pellis, Lorenzo, Pulliam, Juliet R C, Ross, Joshua V, Tildesley, Michael J, Tomba, Gianpaolo Scalia, Silverman, Bernard W, Struchiner, Claudio J, Trapman, Pieter, Webb, Cerian R, Mollison, Denis, Restif, Olivier

Source: Proc. Roy. Soc. B, 2020

Subject Terms: Quantitative Biology - Other Quantitative Biology, Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2006.13012

Real-Time Prediction of the End of an Epidemic Wave: COVID-19 in China as a Case-Study
Seminar on the mathematical modelling of COVID-19

Authors: Griette, Quentin, Liu, Zhihua, Magal, Pierre, Thompson, Robin N.

Source: Fields Institute communications. 85:173-196

Availability: http://explore.bl.uk/primo_library/libweb/action/display.do?tabs=detailsTab&gathStatTab=true&ct=display&fn=search&doc=ETOCCN607365888&indx=1&recIds=ETOCCN607365888

Mathematical methods for scaling from within-host to population-scale in infectious disease systems

Authors: Doran, James W.G., Thompson, Robin N., Yates, Christian A., Bowness, Ruth

Source: In Epidemics December 2023 45

Incubation Period and Serial Interval of Mpox in 2022 Global Outbreak Compared with Historical Estimates.

Authors: Ponce, Luis¹, Linton, Natalie M.², Wu Han Toh³, Hao-Yuan Cheng⁴, Thompson, Robin N.⁵, Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R.¹, akhmetzhanov@ntu.edu.tw, Dushoff, Jonathan⁶

Source: Emerging Infectious Diseases; Jun2024, Vol. 30 Issue 6, p1173-1181, 9p

A target-cell limited model can reproduce influenza infection dynamics in hosts with differing immune responses

Authors: Sachak-Patwa, Rahil, Lafferty, Erin I., Schmit, Claude J., Thompson, Robin N., Byrne, Helen M.

Source: In Journal of Theoretical Biology 21 June 2023 567

Getting the most out of maths: How to coordinate mathematical modelling research to support a pandemic, lessons learnt from three initiatives that were part of the COVID-19 response in the UK

Authors: Dangerfield, Ciara E., David Abrahams, I., Budd, Chris, Butchers, Matt, Cates, Michael E., Champneys, Alan R., Currie, Christine S.M., Enright, Jessica, Gog, Julia R., Goriely, Alain, Déirdre Hollingsworth, T., Hoyle, Rebecca B., INI Professional Services, Isham, Valerie, Jordan, Joanna, Kaouri, Maha H., Kavoussanakis, Kostas, Leeks, Jane, Maini, Philip K., Marr, Christie, Merritt, Clare, Mollison, Denis, Ray, Surajit, Thompson, Robin N., Wakefield, Alexandra, Wasley, Dawn

Source: In Journal of Theoretical Biology 21 January 2023 557

Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?

Authors: Parag, Kris V., Thompson, Robin N., Donnelly, Christl A.

Source: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society.Series A.Statistics in society. 185:S5-S15

Availability: http://explore.bl.uk/primo_library/libweb/action/display.do?tabs=detailsTab&gathStatTab=true&ct=display&fn=search&doc=ETOCvdc_100170821473.0x000001&indx=1&recIds=ETOCvdc_100170821473.0x000001

Authors' reply to the discussion of 'Are epidemic growth rates more informative than reproduction numbers?' by Parag et al. in Session 1 of the Royal Statistical Society's Special Topic Meeting on COVID‐19 transmission: 9 June 2021

Authors: Parag, Kris V., Thompson, Robin N., Donnelly, Christl A.

Source: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society.Series A.Statistics in society. 185:S55-S60

Availability: http://explore.bl.uk/primo_library/libweb/action/display.do?tabs=detailsTab&gathStatTab=true&ct=display&fn=search&doc=ETOCvdc_100169429275.0x000001&indx=1&recIds=ETOCvdc_100169429275.0x000001

Generation time of the alpha and delta SARS-CoV-2 variants: an epidemiological analysis

Authors: Hart, William S, Miller, Elizabeth, Andrews, Nick J, Waight, Pauline, Maini, Philip K, Funk, Sebastian, Thompson, Robin N

Source: Lancet infectious diseases. 22(5):603-610

Availability: http://explore.bl.uk/primo_library/libweb/action/display.do?tabs=detailsTab&gathStatTab=true&ct=display&fn=search&doc=ETOCvdc_100163407806.0x000001&indx=1&recIds=ETOCvdc_100163407806.0x000001

Stochastic modelling of African swine fever in wild boar and domestic pigs: Epidemic forecasting and comparison of disease management strategies

Authors: Dankwa, Emmanuelle A., Lambert, Sébastien, Hayes, Sarah, Thompson, Robin N., Donnelly, Christl A.

Source: In Epidemics September 2022 40

The African swine fever modelling challenge: Model comparison and lessons learnt

Authors: Ezanno, Pauline, Picault, Sébastien, Bareille, Servane, Beaunée, Gaël, Boender, Gert Jan, Dankwa, Emmanuelle A., Deslandes, François, Donnelly, Christl A., Hagenaars, Thomas J., Hayes, Sarah, Jori, Ferran, Lambert, Sébastien, Mancini, Matthieu, Munoz, Facundo, Pleydell, David R.J., Thompson, Robin N., Vergu, Elisabeta, Vignes, Matthieu, Vergne, Timothée

Source: In Epidemics September 2022 40

Quantifying infectious disease epidemic risks: A practical approach for seasonal pathogens.

Authors: Kaye, Alexander R, Guzzetta, Giorgio, Tildesley, Michael J, Thompson, Robin N

Source: PLoS Computational Biology; 2/19/2025, Vol. 21 Issue 2, p1-21, 21p

Subject Terms: BIOLOGICAL extinction, BRANCHING processes, CHIKUNGUNYA virus, DENGUE viruses, HEALTH policy

Challenges for modelling interventions for future pandemics

Authors: Kretzschmar, Mirjam E., Ashby, Ben, Fearon, Elizabeth, Overton, Christopher E., Panovska-Griffiths, Jasmina, Pellis, Lorenzo, Quaife, Matthew, Rozhnova, Ganna, Scarabel, Francesca, Stage, Helena B., Swallow, Ben, Thompson, Robin N., Tildesley, Michael J., Villela, Daniel

Source: In Epidemics March 2022 38

Estimating local outbreak risks and the effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions in age-structured populations: SARS-CoV-2 as a case study

Authors: Lovell-Read, Francesca A., Shen, Silvia, Thompson, Robin N.

Source: In Journal of Theoretical Biology 21 February 2022 535

Key questions for modelling COVID-19 exit strategies

Authors: Thompson, Robin N., Hollingsworth, T. Déirdre, Isham, Valerie, Arribas-Bel, Daniel, Ashby, Ben, Britton, Tom, Challenor, Peter, Chappell, Lauren H. K., Clapham, Hannah, Cunniffe, Nik J., Dawid, A. Philip, Donnelly, Christl A., Eggo, Rosalind M., Funk, Sebastian, Gilbert, Nigel, Glendinning, Paul, Gog, Julia R., Hart, William S., Heesterbeek, Hans, House, Thomas, Keeling, Matt, Kiss, István Z., Kretzschmar, Mirjam E., Lloyd, Alun L., McBryde, Emma S., McCaw, James M., McKinley, Trevelyan J., Miller, Joel C., Morris, Martina, O’Neill, Philip D., Parag, Kris V., Pearson, Carl A. B., Pellis, Lorenzo, Pulliam, Juliet R. C., Ross, Joshua V., Tomba, Gianpaolo Scalia, Silverman, Bernard W., Struchiner, Claudio J., Tildesley, Michael J., Trapman, Pieter, Webb, Cerian R., Mollison, Denis, Restif, Olivier

Source: Proceedings: Biological Sciences, 2020 Aug 01. 287(1932), 1-15.

Access URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/27002415

Challenges in modeling the emergence of novel pathogens

Authors: Glennon, Emma E., Bruijning, Marjolein, Lessler, Justin, Miller, Ian F., Rice, Benjamin L., Thompson, Robin N., Wells, Konstans, Metcalf, C. Jessica E.

Source: In Epidemics December 2021 37

A hospital-related outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 associated with variant Epsilon (B.1.429) in Taiwan: transmission potential and outbreak containment under intensified contact tracing, January–February 2021

Authors: Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R., Jung, Sung-mok, Cheng, Hao-Yuan, Thompson, Robin N.

Source: In International Journal of Infectious Diseases September 2021 110:15-20

Accounting for cross-immunity can improve forecast accuracy during influenza epidemics

Authors: Sachak-Patwa, Rahil, Byrne, Helen M., Thompson, Robin N.

Source: In Epidemics March 2021 34