BMI Research: Latin America Monitor: Central America.

Source: Latin America Monitor: Central America Monitor. Feb2025, Vol. 42 Issue 2, p1-16. 16p.

Subject Terms: *Economic forecasting, Political forecasting

Geographic Terms: Central America

BMI Research: Asia Monitor: South East Asia Vol 1.

Source: Asia Monitor: South East Asia Monitor Volume 1. Feb2025, Vol. 36 Issue 2, p1-14. 14p.

Subject Terms: *Economic development, Political forecasting

Geographic Terms: Southeast Asia

Political incentives and analyst bias: Evidence from China.

Authors: Pittman, Jeffrey^1,2 (AUTHOR) jpittman@mun.ca, Yang, Zhifeng³ (AUTHOR), Yu, Sijia⁴ (AUTHOR), Zhu, Haoran⁵ (AUTHOR)

Source: Contemporary Accounting Research. Sep2024, Vol. 41 Issue 3, p1695-1725. 31p.

Subject Terms: *Rate of return on stocks, *Stockbrokers, *Financial analysts, *Earnings forecasting, Political forecasting

Outsiders within: examining Ethiopian adoptee experiences through a diasporic lens.

Authors: Girma, Hewan¹ h_girma@uncg.edu, Abebe, Alpha²

Source: Journal of Ethnic & Migration Studies. Oct2024, Vol. 50 Issue 18, p4661-4678. 18p.

Subject Terms: *DIASPORA, *POLITICAL forecasting, *ADOPTEES, *ADOPTION

Geographic Terms: ETHIOPIA

The Accuracy of Prediction Markets.

Authors: WOLFRAM, THOMAS¹ wolfram-thomas@usa.net

Source: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 2024 Q2, Issue 73, p48-53. 6p.

Subject Terms: *Prediction markets, *Ratings & rankings of public debts, *Electronic commerce, *Behavioral economics, Political forecasting, Developing countries

APPLYING MACHINE LEARNING IN THE U.S. POLITICAL LANDSCAPE: FORECASTING, POLLING, AND THE DOMESTIC SUPPLY CHAIN.

Authors: Ahmed, Syed Adeel (AUTHOR), Costanzo, Andrew Mark (AUTHOR)

Source: Performance Improvement. Dec2024, Vol. 63 Issue 2, p52-57. 6p.

Subject Terms: Election forecasting, Political forecasting, Machine learning, Political systems, Postal voting

Rethinking the Role of Teams and Training in Geopolitical Forecasting: The Effect of Uncontrolled Method Variance on Statistical Conclusions.

Authors: Hauenstein, Clifford E.¹ (AUTHOR), Thomas, Rick P.¹ (AUTHOR) rick.thomas@psych.gatech.edu, Illingworth, David A.² (AUTHOR), Dougherty, Michael R.³ (AUTHOR)

Source: Psychological Science (0956-7976). Jan2025, Vol. 36 Issue 1, p3-18. 16p.

Subject Terms: *Empirical research, *Analysis of variance, Teams, Political forecasting, Predictive validity, Futurologists, Learning

PROGNOSTICATION PLAN.

Authors: Ferryanto, Liem¹, Ferryanto, Ananta P.^2,3

Source: Quality Progress. Jan2025, Vol. 58 Issue 1, p30-37. 8p.

Subject Terms: *Rate of return on stocks, Political forecasting, Pattern recognition systems, Bayes' theorem, Choice (Psychology), Measurement errors

Investigating the Impact of Agricultural, Financial, Economic, and Political Factors on Oil Forward Prices and Volatility: A SHAP Analysis.

Authors: Kim, Hyeon-Seok¹ (AUTHOR) eunbeepa@gachon.ac.kr, Kim, Hui-Sang² (AUTHOR) goo9801@gachon.ac.kr, Choi, Sun-Yong² (AUTHOR) sunyongchoi@gachon.ac.kr

Source: Energies (19961073). Mar2024, Vol. 17 Issue 5, p1001. 24p.

Subject Terms: *MACHINE learning, *POLITICAL forecasting, *PETROLEUM sales & prices, *AGRICULTURE, *STANDARD & Poor's 500 Index

Capitalism versus Socialism.

Authors: BOETTKE, PETER J.^1,2, pboettke@gmu.edu

Source: Independent Review; Fall2024, Vol. 29 Issue 2, p315-326, 12p

"Hóspede é uma nuvem, passa, mas eu não sou uma nuvem, fico": a estratégia de reabilitação da UNITA na política de reconciliação nacional em Angola após 2017.

Alternate Title: "A guest is a cloud, it passes, but I'm not a cloud, I stay": UNITA's evolution and rehabilitation in the politics of national reconciliation in Angola after 2017.
"Un invitado es una nube, pasa, pero yo no soy una nube, me quedo": Evolución y rehabilitación de la UNITA en la política de reconciliación nacional en Angola después de 2017.

Authors: Lúcia Sá, Ana¹ ana.lucia.sa@iscte-iul.pt, Generoso de Almeida, Cláudia² cgalmeida@fcsh.unl.pt

Source: Estudos Ibero-Americanos. jan-dez2024, Vol. 50 Issue 1, p1-20. 20p.

What Now?

Authors: Shapiro, Walter

Source: New Republic. Dec2020, Vol. 251 Issue 12, p12-17. 6p. 2 Color Photographs.

Subjects: BIDEN, Joe, 1942-, POLITICAL forecasting, UNITED States presidential election, 2020, ECONOMIC recovery, COVID-19 pandemic, UNITED States economic policy, 2017-2021, UNITED States politics & government, 2017-2021

The Organizational Politics of Forecasting Revisited: Collaborative Budget Forecasting Meets the COVID-19 Pandemic.

Authors: DESCHAMPS, ELAINE¹ edeschamps.forecasting@gmail.com

Source: Foresight: The International Journal of Applied Forecasting. 2023 Q3, Issue 70, p31-37. 7p.

Subject Terms: *Office politics, *COVID-19 pandemic, Political forecasting

Antiheroes fueled by injustice: dark personality traits and perceived group relative deprivation in the prediction of violent extremism.

Authors: Pavlović, Tomislav¹ (AUTHOR) tomislav.pavlovic@pilar.hr, Franc, Renata¹ (AUTHOR)

Source: Behavioral Sciences of Terrorism & Political Aggression. Aug2023, Vol. 15 Issue 3, p277-302. 26p.

Subject Terms: *POLITICAL forecasting, *RADICALISM, *POLITICAL violence, *MACHIAVELLIANISM (Psychology), PERSONALITY, SOCIAL desirability

FEAR FACTOR.

Authors: Bitecofer, Rachel

Source: New Republic. Mar2020, Vol. 251 Issue 3, p28-37. 10p. 2 Color Photographs, 1 Illustration, 1 Graph.

Subjects: UNITED States elections, DEMOCRATIC Party (U.S.), TRUMP, Donald, 1946-, WOMEN voters, UNITED States presidential election, 2020, POLITICAL forecasting, UNITED States politics & government, 2017-2021

Forecasting the 2022 U.S. House Elections with a State-by-State Model: No Red-Carpet Treatment for the Republicans.

Authors: Jérôme, Bruno¹ bruno.jerome@gmail.com, Jérôme, Véronique² veronique.jerome@gmail.com, Mongrain, Philippe³ philippe.mongrain@mcgill.ca, Nadeau, Richard⁴ richard.nadeau@umontreal.ca

Source: Polity. Jul2023, Vol. 55 Issue 3, p610-615. 6p.

Subject Terms: *POLITICAL forecasting, *ELECTIONS, *FORECASTING, *REPUBLICANS, *INCUMBENCY (Public officers), UNITED States presidential election, 2012

Company/Entity: UNITED States. Congress. House

Forecasting Election Sentiments: Deep Learning vs. Traditional Models

Authors: Bhadauria, Abhay Singh, Shukla, Manmohan, Kumar, Pawan, Dwivedi, Nitin

Source: 2024 IEEE International Students' Conference on Electrical, Electronics and Computer Science (SCEECS) Electrical, Electronics and Computer Science (SCEECS), 2024 IEEE International Students' Conference on. :1-6 Feb, 2024

Relation: 2024 IEEE International Students' Conference on Electrical, Electronics and Computer Science (SCEECS)

Why Swing‐State Voting Is Not Effective Altruism: The Bad News about the Good News about Voting^*.

Authors: Brennan, Jason¹ (AUTHOR), Freiman, Christopher² (AUTHOR)

Source: Journal of Political Philosophy. Mar2023, Vol. 31 Issue 1, p60-79. 20p.

Subject Terms: *VOTING, *POLITICAL forecasting, *PARTISANSHIP, *ALTRUISM, *POLITICAL participation, *SOCIAL scientists, *POLITICAL knowledge

Why Swing‐State Voting Is Not Effective Altruism: The Bad News about the Good News about Voting^*.

Authors: Brennan, Jason¹ (AUTHOR), Freiman, Christopher² (AUTHOR)

Source: Journal of Political Philosophy. Mar2023, Vol. 31 Issue 1, p60-79. 20p.

Subject Terms: *VOTING, *POLITICAL forecasting, *PARTISANSHIP, *ALTRUISM, *POLITICAL participation, *SOCIAL scientists, *POLITICAL knowledge

The Best-Case Heuristic: Relative Optimism in Relationships, Politics, and a Global Health Pandemic.

Authors: Sjåstad, Hallgeir¹, hallgeir.sjastad@nhh.no, Van Bavel, Jay²

Source: Personality & Social Psychology Bulletin; Apr2025, Vol. 51 Issue 4, p612-631, 20p