Post-pandemic social contacts in Italy: implications for social distancing measures on in-person school and work attendance

Authors: Lucchini, Lorenzo, Marziano, Valentina, Trentini, Filippo, Chiavenna, Chiara, D'Agnese, Elena, Offeddu, Vittoria, Manica, Mattia, Poletti, Piero, Balsamo, Duilio, Guzzetta, Giorgio, Aielli, Marco, Melegaro, Alessia, Merler, Stefano

Subject Terms: Physics - Physics and Society, Computer Science - Social and Information Networks, Nonlinear Sciences - Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems, Physics - Medical Physics

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2412.18549

The 2023 Dengue Outbreak in Lombardy, Italy: A One-Health Perspective

Authors: Rovida, Francesca, Faccini, Marino, Grané, Carla Molina, Cassaniti, Irene, Senatore, Sabrina, Rossetti, Eva, Scardina, Giuditta, Piazza, Manuela, Campanini, Giulia, Lilleri, Daniele, Paolucci, Stefania, Ferrari, Guglielmo, Piralla, Antonio, Defilippo, Francesco, Lelli, Davide, Moreno, Ana, Vezzosi, Luigi, Attanasi, Federica, Marzia, Soresini, Manuela, Barozzi, Cerutti, Lorenzo, Paglia, Stefano, Regazzetti, Angelo, Marcacci, Maurilia, Di Donato, Guido, Farioli, Marco, Manica, Mattia, Poletti, Piero, Lavazza, Antonio, Bonini, Maira, Merler, Stefano, Baldanti, Fausto, Cereda, Danilo, network, Lombardy Dengue

Subject Terms: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2408.04768

Increasing situational awareness through nowcasting of the reproduction number

Authors: Bizzotto, Andrea, Guzzetta, Giorgio, Marziano, Valentina, del Manso, Martina, Urdiales, Alberto Mateo, Petrone, Daniele, Cannone, Andrea, Sacco, Chiara, Poletti, Piero, Manica, Mattia, Zardini, Agnese, Trentini, Filippo, Fabiani, Massimo, Bella, Antonino, Riccardo, Flavia, Pezzotti, Patrizio, Ajelli, Marco, Merler, Stefano

Subject Terms: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2309.14801

Forecasting norovirus cases on cruise ships to support outbreak management on board

Authors: Bizzotto, Andrea ^{a, b}, De Bellis, Alfredo ^{a, b}, Marziano, Valentina ^a, Mouchtouri, Varvara A. ^c, Kourentis, Leonidas ^c, Anagnostopoulos, Lemonia ^c, Hadjichristodoulou, Christos ^c, Merler, Stefano ^a, Guzzetta, Giorgio ^{a, ⁎}

Source: In Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease May-June 2025 65

Transmission of autochthonous Aedes-borne arboviruses and related public health challenges in Europe 2007–2023: a systematic review and secondary analysis

Authors: Cattaneo, Paolo ^{a, i}, Salvador, Elena ^{a, i}, Manica, Mattia ^{b, i}, Barzon, Luisa ^c, Castilletti, Concetta ^a, Di Gennaro, Francesco ^d, Huits, Ralph ^a, Merler, Stefano ^b, Poletti, Piero ^b, Riccardo, Flavia ^e, Saracino, Annalisa ^d, Segala, Francesco ^d, Zammarchi, Lorenzo ^{f, g}, Buonfrate, Dora ^{a, j}, Gobbi, Federico ^{a, h, j, ∗}

Source: In The Lancet Regional Health - Europe April 2025 51

Vaccination strategies for Ebola in the democratic republic of Congo: the WHO-Ebola modeling collaboration

Authors: Ajelli, Marco ¹, Muyembe, Jean-Jacques ², Touré, Alhassane ³, Diallo, Abdourahamane ³, Litvinova, Maria ⁴, Merler, Stefano ⁵, Mulangu, Sabué ³, Bagayoko, Aminata ³, Bah, Aissatou ³, Bah, Ibrahima ³, Barry, Aissatou ³, Barry, Fatoumata ³, Chérif, Mohamed ³, Condé, Doussou ³, Diallo, Alpha A. ³, Diallo, Fatoumata ³, Diakité, Mory ³, Doré, Kassié ³, Mapan, Koundouno A. ³, Koundouno, Thérèse ³, Onivogui, Patrice K. ³, Lamah, Fassou ³, Maneno, Henry ³, Nomou, Alphonse ³, Sekouba, Kourouma ³, Sani, Ismaila ³, Soumah, Abdoulaye ³, Sy, Mamadou M. ³, Gsell, Pierre-Stéphane ³, Halloran, M. Elizabeth ⁶, Henao-Restrepo, Ana Maria ³, Fall, Ibrahima Socé ³, Ryan, Mike J. ³, Salama, Peter ³, Vespignani, Alessandro ⁷, Longini, Ira M., Jr. ^{8, ⁎}

Source: In International Journal of Infectious Diseases April 2025 153

Collaborative forecasting of influenza-like illness in Italy: The Influcast experience

Authors: Fiandrino, Stefania ^{a, b}, Bizzotto, Andrea ^{c, d}, Guzzetta, Giorgio ^c, Merler, Stefano ^c, Baldo, Federico ^{e, f}, Valdano, Eugenio ^f, Urdiales, Alberto Mateo ^g, Bella, Antonino ^g, Celino, Francesco ^h, Zino, Lorenzo ^h, Rizzo, Alessandro ^h, Li, Yuhan ⁱ, Perra, Nicola ^{i, j}, Gioannini, Corrado ^a, Milano, Paolo ^a, Paolotti, Daniela ^a, Quaggiotto, Marco ^{k, a}, Rossi, Luca ^a, Vismara, Ivan ^a, Vespignani, Alessandro ^{l, a}, Gozzi, Nicolò ^{a, ⁎}

Source: In Epidemics March 2025 50

The 2023 dengue outbreak in Lombardy, Italy: A one-health perspective

Authors: Sarasini, Antonella ^m, Furione, Milena ^m, Mele, Dalila ^m, Bergami, Federica ^m, Sammartino, Josè Camilla ^m, Ferrari, Alessandro ^m, Romano, Greta ^m, Guglielmo Pitrolo, Antonino Maria ^m, Carrera, Maya ⁿ, Brugnoli, Rita ^o, Laini, Nunzia ^o, Bonalda, Francesca ^o, Arfani, Sara ^o, Zamboni, Giuditta ^o, Delfanti, Fanny ^p, Ferrari, Piergiuseppe ^p, Dafa, Anxhela ^p, Negri, Antonella ^q, Parisi, Filippa ^q, Tirani, Marcello ^r, Viscardi, Michela ^r, Del Castillo, Gabriele ^r, Morani, Federica ^r, Scovenna, Francesco ^r, Sansebastian, Sheila ^r, Maffeo, Manuel ^r, Chiari, Mario ^{r, s}, Tallarita, Enrico ^t, Rovida, Francesca ^{a, b, 1}, Faccini, Marino ^{c, 1}, Molina Granè, Carla ^{d, 1}, Cassaniti, Irene ^{a, b, ⁎}, Senatore, Sabrina ^c, Rossetti, Eva ^c, Scardina, Giuditta ^c, Piazza, Manuela ^e, Campanini, Giulia ^b, Lilleri, Daniele ^b, Paolucci, Stefania ^b, Ferrari, Guglielmo ^b, Piralla, Antonio ^b, Defilippo, Francesco ^f, Lelli, Davide ^f, Moreno, Ana ^f, Vezzosi, Luigi ^{g, h}, Attanasi, Federica ^h, Soresini, Marzia ^c, Barozzi, Manuela ^c, Cerutti, Lorenzo ⁱ, Paglia, Stefano ^j, Regazzetti, Angelo ^e, Marcacci, Maurilia ^k, Di Donato, Guido ^k, Farioli, Marco ^h, Manica, Mattia ^{d, l, 2}, Poletti, Piero ^{d, l, 2}, Lavazza, Antonio ^f, Bonini, Maira ^c, Merler, Stefano ^{d, l, 2}, Baldanti, Fausto ^{a, b, 2}, Cereda, Danilo ^{h, 2}

Source: In Travel Medicine and Infectious Disease March-April 2025 64

Early estimates on monkeypox incubation period, generation time and reproduction number in Italy, May-June 2022

Authors: Guzzetta, Giorgio, Mammone, Alessia, Ferraro, Federica, Caraglia, Anna, Rapiti, Alessia, Marziano, Valentina, Poletti, Piero, Cereda, Danilo, Vairo, Francesco, Mattei, Giovanna, Maraglino, Francesco, Rezza, Giovanni, Merler, Stefano

Subject Terms: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2207.13483

Estimating SARS-CoV-2 transmission in educational settings: a retrospective cohort study

Authors: Manica, Mattia, Poletti, Piero, Deandrea, Silvia, Mosconi, Giansanto, Ancarani, Cinzia, Lodola, Silvia, Guzzetta, Giorgio, d'Andrea, Valeria, Marziano, Valentina, Zardini, Agnese, Trentini, Filippo, Odone, Anna, Tirani, Marcello, Ajelli, Marco, Merler, Stefano

Subject Terms: Physics - Physics and Society, Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution, Quantitative Biology - Quantitative Methods

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2203.14826

Estimation of the incubation period and generation time of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha and Delta variants from contact tracing data

Authors: Manica, Mattia, Litvinova, Maria, De Bellis, Alfredo, Guzzetta, Giorgio, Mancuso, Pamela, Vicentini, Massimo, Venturelli, Francesco, Bisaccia, Eufemia, Bento, Ana I., Poletti, Piero, Marziano, Valentina, Zardini, Agnese, d'Andrea, Valeria, Trentini, Filippo, Bella, Antonino, Riccardo, Flavia, Pezzotti, Patrizio, Ajelli, Marco, Rossi, Paolo Giorgi, Merler, Stefano, Group, the Reggio Emilia COVID-19 Working

Subject Terms: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution, Quantitative Biology - Quantitative Methods

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2203.07063

Epidemiologic Quantities for Monkeypox Virus Clade I from Historical Data with Implications for Current Outbreaks, Democratic Republic of the Congo.

Authors: Marziano, Valentina¹, Guzzetta, Giorgio¹, Longini, Ira², Merler, Stefano¹, merler@fbk.eu

Source: Emerging Infectious Diseases; Oct2024, Vol. 30 Issue 10, p2042-2046, 5p

A quantitative assessment of epidemiological parameters to model COVID- 19 burden

Authors: Zardini, Agnese, Galli, Margherita, Tirani, Marcello, Cereda, Danilo, Manica, Mattia, Trentini, Filippo, Guzzetta, Giorgio, Marziano, Valentina, Piccarreta, Raffaella, Melegaro, Alessia, Ajelli, Marco, Poletti, Piero, Merler, Stefano

Source: Epidemics 37 (2021) 100530

Subject Terms: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2103.15780

Infection fatality ratio of SARS-CoV-2 in Italy

Authors: Poletti, Piero, Tirani, Marcello, Cereda, Danilo, Trentini, Filippo, Guzzetta, Giorgio, Marziano, Valentina, Buoro, Sabrina, Riboli, Simona, Crottogini, Lucia, Piccarreta, Raffaella, Piatti, Alessandra, Grasselli, Giacomo, Melegaro, Alessia, Gramegna, Maria, Ajelli, Marco, Merler, Stefano

Source: Euro Surveill. 2020;25(31):pii=2001383

Subject Terms: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2007.04381

Probability of symptoms and critical disease after SARS-CoV-2 infection

Authors: Poletti, Piero, Tirani, Marcello, Cereda, Danilo, Trentini, Filippo, Guzzetta, Giorgio, Sabatino, Giuliana, Marziano, Valentina, Castrofino, Ambra, Grosso, Francesca, Del Castillo, Gabriele, Piccarreta, Raffaella, Force, ATS Lombardy COVID-19 Task, Andreassi, Aida, Melegaro, Alessia, Gramegna, Maria, Ajelli, Marco, Merler, Stefano

Source: JAMA Netw Open. 2021;4(3):e211085

Subject Terms: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2006.08471

The relationship between human mobility and viral transmissibility during the COVID-19 epidemics in Italy

Authors: Cintia, Paolo, Pappalardo, Luca, Rinzivillo, Salvatore, Fadda, Daniele, Boschi, Tobia, Giannotti, Fosca, Chiaromonte, Francesca, Bonato, Pietro, Fabbri, Francesco, Penone, Francesco, Savarese, Marcello, Calabrese, Francesco, Guzzetta, Giorgio, Riccardo, Flavia, Marziano, Valentina, Poletti, Piero, Trentini, Filippo, Bella, Antonino, Andrianou, Xanthi, Del Manso, Martina, Fabiani, Massimo, Bellino, Stefania, Boros, Stefano, Urdiales, Alberto Mateo, Vescio, Maria Fenicia, Brusaferro, Silvio, Rezza, Giovanni, Pezzotti, Patrizio, Ajelli, Marco, Merler, Stefano, Vineis, Paolo, Pedreschi, Dino

Subject Terms: Computer Science - Social and Information Networks, Physics - Physics and Society, Statistics - Applications

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2006.03141

Estimating the potential risk of transmission of arboviruses in the Americas and Europe: a modelling study

Authors: Zardini, Agnese, Menegale, Francesco, Gobbi, Andrea, Manica, Mattia, Guzzetta, Giorgio, d'Andrea, Valeria, Marziano, Valentina, Trentini, Filippo, Montarsi, Fabrizio, Caputo, Beniamino, Solimini, Angelo, Marques-Toledo, Cecilia, Wilke, André B B, Rosà, Roberto, Marini, Giovanni, Arnoldi, Daniele, Pastore y Piontti, Ana, Pugliese, Andrea, Capelli, Gioia, della Torre, Alessandra, Teixeira, Mauro M, Beier, John C, Rizzoli, Annapaola, Vespignani, Alessandro, Ajelli, Marco ^†, Merler, Stefano ^†, Poletti, Piero ^{†, *}

Source: In The Lancet Planetary Health January 2024 8(1):e30-e40

The impact of a nation-wide lockdown on COVID-19 transmissibility in Italy

Authors: Guzzetta, Giorgio, Riccardo, Flavia, Marziano, Valentina, Poletti, Piero, Trentini, Filippo, Bella, Antonino, Andrianou, Xanthi, Del Manso, Martina, Fabiani, Massimo, Bellino, Stefania, Boros, Stefano, Urdiales, Alberto Mateo, Vescio, Maria Fenicia, Piccioli, Andrea, group, COVID-19 working, Brusaferro, Silvio, Rezza, Giovanni, Pezzotti, Patrizio, Ajelli, Marco, Merler, Stefano

Subject Terms: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2004.12338

Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling

Authors: Mistry, Dina, Litvinova, Maria, Piontti, Ana Pastore y, Chinazzi, Matteo, Fumanelli, Laura, Gomes, Marcelo F. C., Haque, Syed A., Liu, Quan-Hui, Mu, Kunpeng, Xiong, Xinyue, Halloran, M. Elizabeth, Longini Jr., Ira M., Merler, Stefano, Ajelli, Marco, Vespignani, Alessandro

Subject Terms: Quantitative Biology - Populations and Evolution, Physics - Physics and Society, Quantitative Biology - Quantitative Methods

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/2003.01214

Reconstructing the impact of COVID-19 on the immunity gap and transmission of respiratory syncytial virus in Lombardy, Italy

Authors: Ang, Hadrian Jules, Menegale, Francesco, Preziosi, Giuseppe, Pariani, Elena, Migliari, Maurizio, Pellegrinelli, Laura, Sechi, Giuseppe Maria, Buoro, Sabrina, Merler, Stefano, Cereda, Danilo, Tirani, Marcello, Poletti, Piero, Dorigatti, Ilaria

Source: In eBioMedicine September 2023 95