Pandemic burden in low-income settings and impact of limited and delayed interventions: A granular modelling analysis of COVID-19 in Kabwe, Zambia

Authors: Perez-Guzman, Pablo N. ^{1, $, ⁎}, Chanda, Stephen Longa ^{2, $}, Schaap, Albertus ^{3, 4}, Shanaube, Kwame ³, Baguelin, Marc ^{1, 5, 6}, Nyangu, Sarah T. ³, Kanyanga, Muzala Kapina ², Walker, Patrick ¹, Ayles, Helen ^{3, 4}, Chilengi, Roma ², Verity, Robert ¹, Hauck, Katharina ¹, Knock, Edward S ^{1, #}, Cori, Anne ^{1, #}

Source: In International Journal of Infectious Diseases October 2024 147

Quantifying the effect of delaying the second COVID-19 vaccine dose in England: a mathematical modelling study

Authors: Imai, Natsuko, Rawson, Thomas, Knock, Edward S, Sonabend, Raphael, Elmaci, Yasin, Perez-Guzman, Pablo N, Whittles, Lilith K, Kanapram, Divya Thekke, Gaythorpe, Katy A M, Hinsley, Wes, Djaafara, Bimandra A, Wang, Haowei, Fraser, Keith, FitzJohn, Richard G, Hogan, Alexandra B, Doohan, Patrick, Ghani, Azra C, Ferguson, Neil M, Baguelin, Marc, Cori, Anne

Source: Lancet.Public health. 8(3):e174-e183

Availability: http://explore.bl.uk/primo_library/libweb/action/display.do?tabs=detailsTab&gathStatTab=true&ct=display&fn=search&doc=ETOCvdc_100183978093.0x000001&indx=1&recIds=ETOCvdc_100183978093.0x000001

Data pipelines in a public health emergency: The human in the machine

Authors: Gaythorpe, Katy A.M., Fitzjohn, Rich G., Hinsley, Wes, Imai, Natsuko, Knock, Edward S., Perez Guzman, Pablo N., Djaafara, Bimandra, Fraser, Keith, Baguelin, Marc, Ferguson, Neil M.

Source: In Epidemics June 2023 43

Non-pharmaceutical interventions, vaccination, and the SARS-CoV-2 delta variant in England: a mathematical modelling study

Authors: Sonabend, Raphael, Whittles, Lilith K, Imai, Natsuko, Perez-Guzman, Pablo N, Knock, Edward S, Rawson, Thomas, Gaythorpe, Katy A M, Djaafara, Bimandra A, Hinsley, Wes, FitzJohn, Richard G, Lees, John A, Kanapram, Divya Thekke, Volz, Erik M, Ghani, Azra C, Ferguson, Neil M, Baguelin, Marc, Cori, Anne ^*

Source: In The Lancet 13 November 2021 398(10313):1825-1835

Stochastic epidemic models featuring contact tracing with delays

Authors: Ball, Frank G, Knock, Edward S, O'Neill, Philip D

Subject Terms: Mathematics - Probability

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/1512.01586

Modelling intensive care unit capacity under different epidemiological scenarios of the COVID-19 pandemic in three Western European countries

Authors: McCabe, Ruth, Kont, Mara D, Schmit, Nora, Whittaker, Charles, Løchen, Alessandra, Baguelin, Marc, Knock, Edward, Whittles, Lilith K, Lees, John, Brazeau, Nicholas F, Walker, Patrick GT, Ghani, Azra C, Ferguson, Neil M, White, Peter J, Donnelly, Christl A, Hauck, Katharina, Watson, Oliver J

Source: International journal of epidemiology. 50(3):753-767

Availability: http://explore.bl.uk/primo_library/libweb/action/display.do?tabs=detailsTab&gathStatTab=true&ct=display&fn=search&doc=ETOCvdc_100128775857.0x000001&indx=1&recIds=ETOCvdc_100128775857.0x000001

Comparison of molecular testing strategies for COVID-19 control: a mathematical modelling study

Authors: Ainslie, Kylie, Baguelin, Marc, Bhatt, Samir, Boonyasiri, Adhiratha, Brazeau, Nick, Cattarino, Lorenzo, Coupland, Helen, Cucunuba, Zulma, Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina, Dighe, Amy, Donnelly, Christl, van Elsland, Sabine L, FitzJohn, Richard, Flaxman, Seth, Fraser, Keith, Gaythorpe, Katy, Green, Will, Hamlet, Arran, Hinsley, Wes, Imai, Natsuko, Knock, Edward, Laydon, Daniel, Mellan, Thomas, Mishra, Swapnil, Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma, Nouvellet, Pierre, Okell, Lucy, Ragonnet-Cronin, Manon, Thompson, Hayley A, Unwin, H. Juliette T, Vollmer, Michaela, Volz, Erik, Walters, Caroline, Wang, Yuanrong, Watson, Oliver J, Whittaker, Charles, Whittles, Lilith, Xi, Xiaoyue, Grassly, Nicholas C ^*, Pons-Salort, Margarita, Parker, Edward P K, White, Peter J, Ferguson, Neil M

Source: In The Lancet Infectious Diseases December 2020 20(12):1381-1389

Bayesian Non-Parametric Inference for Infectious Disease Data

Authors: Knock, Edward S., Kypraios, Theodore

Subject Terms: Statistics - Methodology, Statistics - Applications, Statistics - Computation

Access URL: http://arxiv.org/abs/1411.2624

Author Correction: Epidemiological drivers of transmissibility and severity of SARS-CoV-2 in England.

Authors: Perez-Guzman, Pablo N., Knock, Edward, Imai, Natsuko, Rawson, Thomas, Santoni, Cosmo Nazzareno, Alcada, Joana, Whittles, Lilith K., Thekke Kanapram, Divya, Sonabend, Raphael, Gaythorpe, Katy A. M., Hinsley, Wes, FitzJohn, Richard G., Volz, Erik, Verity, Robert, Ferguson, Neil M., Cori, Anne, Baguelin, Marc

Source: Nature Communications; 12/7/2023, Vol. 14 Issue 1, p1-4, 4p

Response to COVID-19 in South Korea and implications for lifting stringent interventions

Authors: Dighe, Amy, Cattarino, Lorenzo, Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina, Skarp, Janetta, Imai, Natsuko, Bhatia, Sangeeta, Gaythorpe, Katy A. M., Ainslie, Kylie E. C., Baguelin, Marc, Bhatt, Samir, Boonyasiri, Adhiratha, Brazeau, Nicholas F., Cooper, Laura V., Coupland, Helen, Cucunuba, Zulma, Dorigatti, Ilaria, Eales, Oliver D., van Elsland, Sabine L., FitzJohn, Richard G., Green, William D., Haw, David J., Hinsley, Wes, Knock, Edward, Laydon, Daniel J., Mellan, Thomas, Mishra, Swapnil, Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma, Nouvellet, Pierre, Pons-Salort, Margarita, Thompson, Hayley A., Unwin, H. Juliette T., Verity, Robert, Vollmer, Michaela A. C., Walters, Caroline E., Watson, Oliver J., Whittaker, Charles, Whittles, Lilith K., Ghani, Azra C., Donnelly, Christl A., Ferguson, Neil M., Riley, Steven

Source: BMC medicine. 18(1)

Availability: http://explore.bl.uk/primo_library/libweb/action/display.do?tabs=detailsTab&gathStatTab=true&ct=display&fn=search&doc=ETOCvdc_100171934385.0x000001&indx=1&recIds=ETOCvdc_100171934385.0x000001

State-level tracking of COVID-19 in the United States

Authors: Unwin, H. Juliette T., Mishra, Swapnil, Bradley, Valerie C., Gandy, Axel, Mellan, Thomas A., Coupland, Helen, Ish-Horowicz, Jonathan, Vollmer, Michaela A. C., Whittaker, Charles, Filippi, Sarah L., Xi, Xiaoyue, Monod, Mélodie, Ratmann, Oliver, Hutchinson, Michael, Valka, Fabian, Zhu, Harrison, Hawryluk, Iwona, Milton, Philip, Ainslie, Kylie E. C., Baguelin, Marc, Boonyasiri, Adhiratha, Brazeau, Nick F., Cattarino, Lorenzo, Cucunuba, Zulma, Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina, Dorigatti, Ilaria, Eales, Oliver D., Eaton, Jeffrey W., van Elsland, Sabine L., FitzJohn, Richard G., Gaythorpe, Katy A. M., Green, William, Hinsley, Wes, Jeffrey, Benjamin, Knock, Edward, Laydon, Daniel J., Lees, John, Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma, Nouvellet, Pierre, Okell, Lucy, Parag, Kris V., Siveroni, Igor, Thompson, Hayley A., Walker, Patrick, Walters, Caroline E., Watson, Oliver J., Whittles, Lilith K., Ghani, Azra C., Ferguson, Neil M., Riley, Steven, Donnelly, Christl A., Bhatt, Samir, Flaxman, Seth

Source: Nature communications. 11(1)

Availability: http://explore.bl.uk/primo_library/libweb/action/display.do?tabs=detailsTab&gathStatTab=true&ct=display&fn=search&doc=ETOCvdc_100188960008.0x000001&indx=1&recIds=ETOCvdc_100188960008.0x000001

Epidemiological drivers of transmissibility and severity of SARS-CoV-2 in England.

Authors: Perez-Guzman, Pablo N., Knock, Edward, Imai, Natsuko, Rawson, Thomas, Elmaci, Yasin, Alcada, Joana, Whittles, Lilith K., Thekke Kanapram, Divya, Sonabend, Raphael, Gaythorpe, Katy A. M., Hinsley, Wes, FitzJohn, Richard G., Volz, Erik, Verity, Robert, Ferguson, Neil M., Cori, Anne, Baguelin, Marc

Source: Nature Communications; 7/17/2023, Vol. 14 Issue 1, p1-9, 9p

Subject Terms: SARS-CoV-2, BASIC reproduction number, SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant, HERD immunity, COVID-19 pandemic

Geographic Terms: ENGLAND

THRESHOLD BEHAVIOUR OF EMERGING EPIDEMICS FEATURING CONTACT TRACING

Authors: BALL, FRANK G., KNOCK, EDWARD S., O'NEILL, PHILIP D.

Source: Advances in Applied Probability, 2011 Dec 01. 43(4), 1048-1065.

Access URL: https://www.jstor.org/stable/23208038

Control of emerging infectious diseases using responsive imperfect vaccination and isolation

Authors: Ball, Frank G., Knock, Edward S., O’Neill, Philip D.

Source: In Mathematical Biosciences 2008 216(1):100-113

Key epidemiological drivers and impact of interventions in the 2020 SARS-CoV-2 epidemic in England.

Authors: Knock, Edward S., Whittles, Lilith K., Lees, John A., Perez-Guzman, Pablo N., Verity, Robert, FitzJohn, Richard G., Gaythorpe, Katy A. M., Imai, Natsuko, Hinsley, Wes, Okell, Lucy C., Rosello, Alicia, Kantas, Nikolas, Walters, Caroline E., Bhatia, Sangeeta, Watson, Oliver J., Whittaker, Charlie, Cattarino, Lorenzo, Boonyasiri, Adhiratha, Djaafara, Bimandra A., Fraser, Keith

Source: Science Translational Medicine; 7/14/2021, Vol. 13 Issue 602, p1-11, 11p

Subject Terms: SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, HERD immunity, STAY-at-home orders, VACCINATION, EPIDEMICS

Geographic Terms: ENGLAND

This result is not displayed to guests.
Login for full access.

Leveraging community mortality indicators to infer COVID-19 mortality and transmission dynamics in Damascus, Syria.

Authors: Watson, Oliver J., Alhaffar, Mervat, Mehchy, Zaki, Whittaker, Charles, Akil, Zack, Brazeau, Nicholas F., Cuomo-Dannenburg, Gina, Hamlet, Arran, Thompson, Hayley A., Baguelin, Marc, FitzJohn, Richard G., Knock, Edward, Lees, John A., Whittles, Lilith K., Mellan, Thomas, Winskill, Peter, Imperial College COVID-19 Response Team, Bhatt, Samir, Djaafara, Bimandra A., Donnelly, Christl A.

Source: Nature Communications; 4/22/2021, Vol. 12 Issue 1, p1-10, 10p

Subject Terms: COVID-19, COVID-19 pandemic, HOSPITAL size, PANDEMICS, MORTALITY, DEATH rate

Geographic Terms: DAMASCUS (Syria)

Quantifying epidemiological drivers of gambiense human African Trypanosomiasis across the Democratic Republic of Congo.

Authors: Crump, Ronald E., Huang, Ching-I, Knock, Edward S., Spencer, Simon E. F., Brown, Paul E., Mwamba Miaka, Erick, Shampa, Chansy, Keeling, Matt J., Rock, Kat S.

Source: PLoS Computational Biology; 1/29/2021, Vol. 17 Issue 1, p1-23, 23p, 1 Diagram, 3 Charts, 5 Graphs

Subject Terms: AFRICAN trypanosomiasis, BASIC reproduction number, DISTRIBUTION (Probability theory), HEALTH facilities, STATISTICAL matching

The potential public health consequences of COVID-19 on malaria in Africa

Authors: Sherrard-Smith, Ellie, Hogan, Alexandra B., Hamlet, Arran, Watson, Oliver J., Whittaker, Charlie, Winskill, Peter, Ali, Fatima, Mohammad, Audu B., Uhomoibhi, Perpetua, Maikore, Ibrahim, Ogbulafor, Nnenna, Nikau, Jamilu, Kont, Mara D., Challenger, Joseph D., Verity, Robert, Lambert, Ben, Cairns, Matthew, Rao, Bhargavi, Baguelin, Marc, Whittles, Lilith K., Lees, John A., Bhatia, Sangeeta, Knock, Edward S., Okell, Lucy, Slater, Hannah C., Ghani, Azra C., Walker, Patrick G. T., Okoko, Okefu Oyale, Churcher, Thomas S.

Source: Nature Medicine; September 2020, Vol. 26 Issue: 9 p1411-1416, 6p

Assessing the impact of aggregating disease stage data in model predictions of human African trypanosomiasis transmission and control activities in Bandundu province (DRC).

Authors: Castaño, María Soledad, Ndeffo-Mbah, Martial L., Rock, Kat S., Palmer, Cody, Knock, Edward, Mwamba Miaka, Erick, Ndung'u, Joseph M., Torr, Steve, Verlé, Paul, Spencer, Simon E. F., Galvani, Alison, Bever, Caitlin, Keeling, Matt J., Chitnis, Nakul

Source: PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases; 1/22/2020, Vol. 14 Issue 1, p1-16, 16p

Subject Terms: AFRICAN trypanosomiasis, DISEASE progression, PREDICTION models, DATA modeling, OPERATIONS research

Company/Entity: WORLD Health Organization