Routine childhood immunisation during the COVID-19 pandemic in Africa: a benefit–risk analysis of health benefits versus excess risk of SARS-CoV-2 infection

Authors: Houben, Rein M G J, Edmunds, W John, Villabona-Arenas, Christian Julian, Atkins, Katherine E, Knight, Gwenan M, Sun, Fiona Yueqian, Auzenbergs, Megan, Rosello, Alicia, Klepac, Petra, Hellewell, Joel, Russell, Timothy W, Tully, Damien C, Emery, Jon C, Gibbs, Hamish P, Munday, James D, Quilty, Billy J, Diamond, Charlie, Pearson, Carl A B, Leclerc, Quentin J, Nightingale, Emily S, Liu, Yang, Endo, Akira, Deol, Arminder K, Kucharski, Adam J, Abbott, Sam, Jarvis, Christopher I, O'Reilly, Kathleen, Jombart, Thibaut, Gimma, Amy, Bosse, Nikos I, Prem, Kiesha, Hué, Stéphane, Davies, Nicholas G, Eggo, Rosalind M, Clifford, Samuel, Medley, Graham, Abbas, Kaja ^{*, *}, Procter, Simon R ^*, van Zandvoort, Kevin, Clark, Andrew, Funk, Sebastian, Mengistu, Tewodaj, Hogan, Dan, Dansereau, Emily, Jit, Mark, Flasche, Stefan

Source: In The Lancet Global Health October 2020 8(10):e1264-e1272

Effectiveness of isolation, testing, contact tracing, and physical distancing on reducing transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in different settings: a mathematical modelling study

Authors: Emery, Jon C, Medley, Graham, Munday, James D, Russell, Timothy W, Leclerc, Quentin J, Diamond, Charlie, Procter, Simon R, Gimma, Amy, Sun, Fiona Yueqian, Gibbs, Hamish P, Rosello, Alicia, van Zandvoort, Kevin, Hué, Stéphane, Meakin, Sophie R, Deol, Arminder K, Knight, Gwen, Jombart, Thibaut, Foss, Anna M, Bosse, Nikos I, Atkins, Katherine E, Quilty, Billy J, Lowe, Rachel, Prem, Kiesha, Flasche, Stefan, Pearson, Carl A B, Houben, Rein M G J, Nightingale, Emily S, Endo, Akira, Tully, Damien C, Liu, Yang, Villabona-Arenas, Julian, O'Reilly, Kathleen, Funk, Sebastian, Eggo, Rosalind M, Jit, Mark, Rees, Eleanor M, Hellewell, Joel, Clifford, Samuel, Jarvis, Christopher I, Abbott, Sam, Auzenbergs, Megan, Davies, Nicholas G, Simons, David, Kucharski, Adam J ^*, Klepac, Petra, Conlan, Andrew J K, Kissler, Stephen M, Tang, Maria L, Fry, Hannah, Gog, Julia R, Edmunds, W John

Source: In The Lancet Infectious Diseases October 2020 20(10):1151-1160

Global, regional, and national estimates of the population at increased risk of severe COVID-19 due to underlying health conditions in 2020: a modelling study

Authors: Nightingale, Emily S, O'Reilly, Kathleen, Jombart, Thibaut, Edmunds, W John, Rosello, Alicia, Sun, Fiona Yueqian, Atkins, Katherine E, Bosse, Nikos I, Clifford, Samuel, Russell, Timothy W, Deol, Arminder K, Liu, Yang, Procter, Simon R, Leclerc, Quentin J, Medley, Graham, Knight, Gwen, Munday, James D, Kucharski, Adam J, Pearson, Carl A B, Klepac, Petra, Prem, Kiesha, Houben, Rein M G J, Endo, Akira, Flasche, Stefan, Davies, Nicholas G, Diamond, Charlie, van Zandvoort, Kevin, Funk, Sebastian, Auzenbergs, Megan, Rees, Eleanor M, Tully, Damien C, Emery, Jon C, Quilty, Billy J, Abbott, Sam, Villabona-Arenas, Ch Julian, Hué, Stéphane, Hellewell, Joel, Gimma, Amy, Jarvis, Christopher I, Clark, Andrew ^*, Jit, Mark, Warren-Gash, Charlotte, Guthrie, Bruce, Wang, Harry H X, Mercer, Stewart W, Sanderson, Colin, McKee, Martin, Troeger, Christopher, Ong, Kanyin L, Checchi, Francesco, Perel, Pablo, Joseph, Sarah, Gibbs, Hamish P, Banerjee, Amitava, Eggo, Rosalind M

Source: In The Lancet Global Health August 2020 8(8):e1003-e1017

Effects of non-pharmaceutical interventions on COVID-19 cases, deaths, and demand for hospital services in the UK: a modelling study

Authors: Jombart, Thibaut, O'Reilly, Kathleen, Endo, Akira, Hellewell, Joel, Nightingale, Emily S, Quilty, Billy J, Jarvis, Christopher I, Russell, Timothy W, Klepac, Petra, Bosse, Nikos I, Funk, Sebastian, Abbott, Sam, Medley, Graham F, Gibbs, Hamish, Pearson, Carl A B, Flasche, Stefan, Jit, Mark, Clifford, Samuel, Prem, Kiesha, Diamond, Charlie, Emery, Jon, Deol, Arminder K, Procter, Simon R, van Zandvoort, Kevin, Sun, Yueqian Fiona, Munday, James D, Rosello, Alicia, Auzenbergs, Megan, Knight, Gwen, Houben, Rein M G J, Liu, Yang, Davies, Nicholas G ^*, Kucharski, Adam J ^*, Eggo, Rosalind M ^*, Gimma, Amy, Edmunds, W John

Source: In The Lancet Public Health July 2020 5(7):e375-e385

Estimating ventilation rates in rooms with varying occupancy levels: Relevance for reducing transmission risk of airborne pathogens.

Authors: Deol, Arminder K.¹ (AUTHOR) arminder.deol@lshtm.ac.uk, Scarponi, Danny¹ (AUTHOR), Beckwith, Peter^2,3 (AUTHOR), Yates, Tom A.⁴ (AUTHOR), Karat, Aaron S.^1,3 (AUTHOR), Yan, Ada W. C.⁵ (AUTHOR), Baisley, Kathy S.⁶ (AUTHOR), Grant, Alison D.^1,7,8 (AUTHOR), White, Richard G.¹ (AUTHOR), McCreesh, Nicky¹ (AUTHOR)

Source: PLoS ONE. 6/24/2021, Vol. 16 Issue 6, p1-12. 12p.

Subject Terms: *MICROBIOLOGICAL aerosols, *MEASLES virus, *AIRBORNE infection, *TUBERCULOSIS, *VENTILATION, *ORDINARY differential equations, *MYCOBACTERIUM tuberculosis, *WAITING rooms

The cost and cost-effectiveness of novel tuberculosis vaccines in low- and middle-income countries: A modeling study.

Authors: Portnoy, Allison, Clark, Rebecca A., Quaife, Matthew, Weerasuriya, Chathika K., Mukandavire, Christinah, Bakker, Roel, Deol, Arminder K., Malhotra, Shelly, Gebreselassie, Nebiat, Zignol, Matteo, Sim, So Yoon, Hutubessy, Raymond C. W., Baena, Inés Garcia, Nishikiori, Nobuyuki, Jit, Mark, White, Richard G., Menzies, Nicolas A.

Source: PLoS Medicine; 1/24/2023, Vol. 19 Issue 1, p1-18, 18p, 3 Charts, 3 Graphs

Subject Terms: TUBERCULOSIS vaccines, MIDDLE-income countries, VACCINE development, ECONOMIC models, COST effectiveness

Company/Entity: WORLD Health Organization

Associations between infection intensity categories and morbidity prevalence in school-age children are much stronger for Schistosoma haematobium than for S. mansoni.

Authors: Wiegand, Ryan E., Secor, W. Evan, Fleming, Fiona M., French, Michael D., King, Charles H., Deol, Arminder K., Montgomery, Susan P., Evans, Darin, Utzinger, Jürg, Vounatsou, Penelope, de Vlas, Sake J.

Source: PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases; 5/25/2021, Vol. 15 Issue 5, p1-18, 18p

Subject Terms: SCHISTOSOMA haematobium, INFECTION, COMORBIDITY, BLADDER, PORTAL vein, URINARY organs, INTERSTITIAL cystitis

Company/Entity: WORLD Health Organization

Response strategies for COVID-19 epidemics in African settings: a mathematical modelling study.

Authors: van Zandvoort, Kevin, Jarvis, Christopher I., Pearson, Carl A. B., Davies, Nicholas G., CMMID COVID-19 working group, Nightingale, Emily S., Munday, James D., Gimma, Amy, Rosello, Alicia, Villabona-Arenas, Julian, Funk, Sebastian, Atkins, Katherine E., Diamond, Charlie, Meakin, Sophie R., Procter, Simon R., Sun, Fiona Yueqian, Endo, Akira, Tully, Damien C., Rees, Eleanor M., Deol, Arminder K.

Source: BMC Medicine; 10/14/2020, Vol. 18 Issue 1, p1-19, 19p

Subject Terms: COVID-19, SET theory, EPIDEMICS, MATHEMATICAL models

Schistosomiasis - Assessing Progress toward the 2020 and 2025 Global Goals.

Authors: Deol, Arminder K.^1,2,3 arminder.deol@lshtm.ac.uk, Fleming, Fiona M.^1,2,3, Calvo-Urbano, Beatriz¹, Walker, Martin^2,3,4, Bucumi, Victor⁵, Gnandou, Issah⁶, Tukahebwa, Edridah M.⁷, Jemu, Samuel⁸, Mwingira, Upendo J.⁹, Alkohlani, Abdulhakeem¹⁰, Traoré, Mahamadou¹¹, Ruberanziza, Eugene¹², Touré, Seydou¹³, Basáñez, Maria-Gloria^2,3, French, Michael D.¹⁴, Webster, Joanne P.^2,3,4

Source: New England Journal of Medicine. 12/26/2019, Vol. 381 Issue 26, p2519-2528. 10p.

Subject Terms: *SCHISTOSOMIASIS prevention, *ANIMAL experimentation, *ANTHELMINTICS, *PREVENTION of communicable diseases, *COMPARATIVE studies, *RESEARCH methodology, *MEDICAL cooperation, *PUBLIC health, *RESEARCH, *RESEARCH funding, *SCHISTOSOMIASIS, *TREMATODA, *EVALUATION research, *ORGANIZATIONAL goals, *DISEASE prevalence, *CROSS-sectional method

Geographic Terms: SUB-Saharan Africa, YEMEN (Republic)

Company/Entity: WORLD Health Organization

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Reconstructing the early global dynamics of under-ascertained COVID-19 cases and infections.

Authors: Russell, Timothy W., Golding, Nick, Hellewell, Joel, Abbott, Sam, Wright, Lawrence, Pearson, Carl A. B., van Zandvoort, Kevin, Jarvis, Christopher I., Gibbs, Hamish, Liu, Yang, Eggo, Rosalind M., Edmunds, W. John, Kucharski, Adam J., on behalf of the CMMID COVID-19 working group, Deol, Arminder K., Villabona-Arenas, C. Julian, Jombart, Thibaut, O'Reilly, Kathleen, Munday, James D., Meakin, Sophie R.

Source: BMC Medicine; 10/22/2020, Vol. 18 Issue 1, pN.PAG-N.PAG, 1p

Subject Terms: COVID-19, GAUSSIAN processes, SARS-CoV-2, DYSPNEA, INFECTION

The impact of COVID-19 control measures on social contacts and transmission in Kenyan informal settlements.

Authors: Quaife, Matthew, van Zandvoort, Kevin, Gimma, Amy, Shah, Kashvi, McCreesh, Nicky, Prem, Kiesha, Barasa, Edwine, Mwanga, Daniel, Kangwana, Beth, Pinchoff, Jessie, CMMID COVID-19 Working Group, Bosse, Nikos I., Medley, Graham, O'Reilly, Kathleen, Leclerc, Quentin J., Jit, Mark, Lowe, Rachel, Davies, Nicholas G., Deol, Arminder K., Knight, Gwenan M.

Source: BMC Medicine; 10/5/2020, Vol. 18 Issue 1, pN.PAG-N.PAG, 1p

Subject Terms: COVID-19, SOCIAL contact, SOCIAL control, BASIC reproduction number, SOCIAL surveys

Geographic Terms: NAIROBI (Kenya), KENYA

The effect of travel restrictions on the geographical spread of COVID-19 between large cities in China: a modelling study.

Authors: Quilty, Billy J., Diamond, Charlie, Liu, Yang, Gibbs, Hamish, Russell, Timothy W., Jarvis, Christopher I., Prem, Kiesha, Pearson, Carl A. B., Clifford, Samuel, Flasche, Stefan, CMMID COVID-19 working group, Emery, Jon C., Auzenbergs, Megan, Davies, Nicholas, Nightingale, Emily S., van Zandvoort, Kevin, Jombart, Thibaut, Deol, Arminder K., Edmunds, W. John, Hellewell, Joel

Source: BMC Medicine; 8/19/2020, Vol. 18 Issue 1, pN.PAG-N.PAG, 1p, 2 Diagrams, 2 Charts, 2 Graphs

Subject Terms: COVID-19, TRAVEL restrictions, URBAN planning, LUNAR calendar, BRANCHING processes

Geographic Terms: WUHAN (China)

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Schistosomiasis and the Global Goals - THE AUTHORS REPLY.

Authors: Deol, Arminder K.¹ arminder.deol@lshtm.ac.uk, French, Michael D.², Webster, Joanne P.³

Source: New England Journal of Medicine. 4/16/2020, Vol. 382 Issue 16, p1576-1576. 1/2p.

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