Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021–22 and 2022–23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations

Authors: Sarabeth M. Mathis, Alexander E. Webber, Tomás M. León, Erin L. Murray, Monica Sun, Lauren A. White, Logan C. Brooks, Alden Green, Addison J. Hu, Roni Rosenfeld, Dmitry Shemetov, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Daniel J. McDonald, Sasikiran Kandula, Sen Pei, Rami Yaari, Teresa K. Yamana, Jeffrey Shaman, Pulak Agarwal, Srikar Balusu, Gautham Gururajan, Harshavardhan Kamarthi, B. Aditya Prakash, Rishi Raman, Zhiyuan Zhao, Alexander Rodríguez, Akilan Meiyappan, Shalina Omar, Prasith Baccam, Heidi L. Gurung, Brad T. Suchoski, Steve A. Stage, Marco Ajelli, Allisandra G. Kummer, Maria Litvinova, Paulo C. Ventura, Spencer Wadsworth, Jarad Niemi, Erica Carcelen, Alison L. Hill, Sara L. Loo, Clifton D. McKee, Koji Sato, Claire Smith, Shaun Truelove, Sung-mok Jung, Joseph C. Lemaitre, Justin Lessler, Thomas McAndrew, Wenxuan Ye, Nikos Bosse, William S. Hlavacek, Yen Ting Lin, Abhishek Mallela, Graham C. Gibson, Ye Chen, Shelby M. Lamm, Jaechoul Lee, Richard G. Posner, Amanda C. Perofsky, Cécile Viboud, Leonardo Clemente, Fred Lu, Austin G. Meyer, Mauricio Santillana, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Xinyue Xiong, Michal Ben-Nun, Pete Riley, James Turtle, Chis Hulme-Lowe, Shakeel Jessa, V. P. Nagraj, Stephen D. Turner, Desiree Williams, Avranil Basu, John M. Drake, Spencer J. Fox, Ehsan Suez, Monica G. Cojocaru, Edward W. Thommes, Estee Y. Cramer, Aaron Gerding, Ariane Stark, Evan L. Ray, Nicholas G. Reich, Li Shandross, Nutcha Wattanachit, Yijin Wang, Martha W. Zorn, Majd Al Aawar, Ajitesh Srivastava, Lauren A. Meyers, Aniruddha Adiga, Benjamin Hurt, Gursharn Kaur, Bryan L. Lewis, Madhav Marathe, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Patrick Butler, Andrew Farabow, Naren Ramakrishnan, Nikhil Muralidhar, Carrie Reed, Matthew Biggerstaff, Rebecca K. Borchering

Source: Nature Communications, Vol 15, Iss 1, Pp 1-13 (2024)

Subject Terms: Science

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/b22341a399b644b886f816887477dc5b

Wastewater-based epidemiology for COVID-19 surveillance and beyond: A survey

Authors: Chen Chen, Yunfan Wang, Gursharn Kaur, Aniruddha Adiga, Baltazar Espinoza, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Andrew Warren, Bryan Lewis, Justin Crow, Rekha Singh, Alexandra Lorentz, Denise Toney, Madhav Marathe

Source: Epidemics, Vol 49, Iss , Pp 100793- (2024)

Subject Terms: Wastewater, Epidemiology, Infectious disease, COVID-19, Survey, Infectious and parasitic diseases, RC109-216

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436524000549; https://doaj.org/toc/1755-4365

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/6da60cdbea9d41a2ae42341405230ded

Evaluation of the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub for informing pandemic response under uncertainty

Authors: Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Luke C. Mullany, Michelle Qin, Nicholas G. Reich, Samantha Bents, Rebecca K. Borchering, Sung-mok Jung, Sara L. Loo, Claire P. Smith, John Levander, Jessica Kerr, J. Espino, Willem G. van Panhuis, Harry Hochheiser, Marta Galanti, Teresa Yamana, Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman, Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett, Matt Kinsey, Kate Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Lauren Shin, Joseph C. Lemaitre, Joshua Kaminsky, Juan Dent Hulse, Elizabeth C. Lee, Clifton D. McKee, Alison Hill, Dean Karlen, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Erik T. Rosenstrom, Julie S. Ivy, Maria E. Mayorga, Julie L. Swann, Guido España, Sean Cavany, Sean Moore, Alex Perkins, Thomas Hladish, Alexander Pillai, Kok Ben Toh, Ira Longini, Shi Chen, Rajib Paul, Daniel Janies, Jean-Claude Thill, Anass Bouchnita, Kaiming Bi, Michael Lachmann, Spencer J. Fox, Lauren Ancel Meyers, Ajitesh Srivastava, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srini Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Bryan Lewis, Brian Klahn, Joseph Outten, Benjamin Hurt, Jiangzhuo Chen, Henning Mortveit, Amanda Wilson, Madhav Marathe, Stefan Hoops, Parantapa Bhattacharya, Dustin Machi, Betsy L. Cadwell, Jessica M. Healy, Rachel B. Slayton, Michael A. Johansson, Matthew Biggerstaff, Shaun Truelove, Michael C. Runge, Katriona Shea, Cécile Viboud, Justin Lessler

Source: Nature Communications, Vol 14, Iss 1, Pp 1-15 (2023)

Subject Terms: Science

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/2041-1723

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/5d876a0b4405426fa09f24425e85da39

Data-driven mechanistic framework with stratified immunity and effective transmissibility for COVID-19 scenario projections

Authors: Przemyslaw Porebski, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Brian Klahn, Benjamin Hurt, Mandy L. Wilson, Jiangzhuo Chen, Anil Vullikanti, Madhav Marathe, Bryan Lewis

Source: Epidemics, Vol 47, Iss , Pp 100761- (2024)

Subject Terms: COVID-19, Scenario projections, Compartmental model, Transmission dynamics, Variant characteristics, Population immunity, Infectious and parasitic diseases, RC109-216

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1755436524000227; https://doaj.org/toc/1755-4365

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/59eee501e9ba401cbf5216d5a698633b

Challenges of COVID-19 Case Forecasting in the US, 2020-2021.

Authors: Velma K Lopez, Estee Y Cramer, Robert Pagano, John M Drake, Eamon B O'Dea, Madeline Adee, Turgay Ayer, Jagpreet Chhatwal, Ozden O Dalgic, Mary A Ladd, Benjamin P Linas, Peter P Mueller, Jade Xiao, Johannes Bracher, Alvaro J Castro Rivadeneira, Aaron Gerding, Tilmann Gneiting, Yuxin Huang, Dasuni Jayawardena, Abdul H Kanji, Khoa Le, Anja Mühlemann, Jarad Niemi, Evan L Ray, Ariane Stark, Yijin Wang, Nutcha Wattanachit, Martha W Zorn, Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman, Teresa K Yamana, Samuel R Tarasewicz, Daniel J Wilson, Sid Baccam, Heidi Gurung, Steve Stage, Brad Suchoski, Lei Gao, Zhiling Gu, Myungjin Kim, Xinyi Li, Guannan Wang, Lily Wang, Yueying Wang, Shan Yu, Lauren Gardner, Sonia Jindal, Maximilian Marshall, Kristen Nixon, Juan Dent, Alison L Hill, Joshua Kaminsky, Elizabeth C Lee, Joseph C Lemaitre, Justin Lessler, Claire P Smith, Shaun Truelove, Matt Kinsey, Luke C Mullany, Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett, Lauren Shin, Katharine Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Dean Karlen, Lauren Castro, Geoffrey Fairchild, Isaac Michaud, Dave Osthus, Jiang Bian, Wei Cao, Zhifeng Gao, Juan Lavista Ferres, Chaozhuo Li, Tie-Yan Liu, Xing Xie, Shun Zhang, Shun Zheng, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Ana Pastore Y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Xinyue Xiong, Robert Walraven, Jinghui Chen, Quanquan Gu, Lingxiao Wang, Pan Xu, Weitong Zhang, Difan Zou, Graham Casey Gibson, Daniel Sheldon, Ajitesh Srivastava, Aniruddha Adiga, Benjamin Hurt, Gursharn Kaur, Bryan Lewis, Madhav Marathe, Akhil Sai Peddireddy, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Lijing Wang, Pragati V Prasad, Jo W Walker, Alexander E Webber, Rachel B Slayton, Matthew Biggerstaff, Nicholas G Reich, Michael A Johansson

Source: PLoS Computational Biology, Vol 20, Iss 5, p e1011200 (2024)

Subject Terms: Biology (General), QH301-705.5

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://doaj.org/toc/1553-734X; https://doaj.org/toc/1553-7358

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/d7c7eeeba3c3436d9f9bb67e5878ebf7

Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: Lessons from the US COVID-19 scenario modeling hub.

Authors: Sung-Mok Jung, Sara L Loo, Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, Claire P Smith, Erica C Carcelén, Katie Yan, Samantha J Bents, John Levander, Jessi Espino, Joseph C Lemaitre, Koji Sato, Clifton D McKee, Alison L Hill, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Alessandro Vespignani, Erik T Rosenstrom, Sebastian A Rodriguez-Cartes, Julie S Ivy, Maria E Mayorga, Julie L Swann, Guido España, Sean Cavany, Sean M Moore, T Alex Perkins, Shi Chen, Rajib Paul, Daniel Janies, Jean-Claude Thill, Ajitesh Srivastava, Majd Al Aawar, Kaiming Bi, Shraddha Ramdas Bandekar, Anass Bouchnita, Spencer J Fox, Lauren Ancel Meyers, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srini Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Benjamin Hurt, Brian Klahn, Joseph Outten, Jiangzhuo Chen, Henning Mortveit, Amanda Wilson, Stefan Hoops, Parantapa Bhattacharya, Dustin Machi, Anil Vullikanti, Bryan Lewis, Madhav Marathe, Harry Hochheiser, Michael C Runge, Katriona Shea, Shaun Truelove, Cécile Viboud, Justin Lessler

Source: PLoS Medicine, Vol 21, Iss 4, p e1004387 (2024)

Subject Terms: Medicine

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://journals.plos.org/plosmedicine/article/file?id=10.1371/journal.pmed.1004387&type=printable; https://doaj.org/toc/1549-1277; https://doaj.org/toc/1549-1676

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/f7a01a06e8a543d79ce8eb85263d9b4f

Predictive performance of multi-model ensemble forecasts of COVID-19 across European nations

Authors: Katharine Sherratt, Hugo Gruson, Rok Grah, Helen Johnson, Rene Niehus, Bastian Prasse, Frank Sandmann, Jannik Deuschel, Daniel Wolffram, Sam Abbott, Alexander Ullrich, Graham Gibson, Evan L Ray, Nicholas G Reich, Daniel Sheldon, Yijin Wang, Nutcha Wattanachit, Lijing Wang, Jan Trnka, Guillaume Obozinski, Tao Sun, Dorina Thanou, Loic Pottier, Ekaterina Krymova, Jan H Meinke, Maria Vittoria Barbarossa, Neele Leithauser, Jan Mohring, Johanna Schneider, Jaroslaw Wlazlo, Jan Fuhrmann, Berit Lange, Isti Rodiah, Prasith Baccam, Heidi Gurung, Steven Stage, Bradley Suchoski, Jozef Budzinski, Robert Walraven, Inmaculada Villanueva, Vit Tucek, Martin Smid, Milan Zajicek, Cesar Perez Alvarez, Borja Reina, Nikos I Bosse, Sophie R Meakin, Lauren Castro, Geoffrey Fairchild, Isaac Michaud, Dave Osthus, Pierfrancesco Alaimo Di Loro, Antonello Maruotti, Veronika Eclerova, Andrea Kraus, David Kraus, Lenka Pribylova, Bertsimas Dimitris, Michael Lingzhi Li, Soni Saksham, Jonas Dehning, Sebastian Mohr, Viola Priesemann, Grzegorz Redlarski, Benjamin Bejar, Giovanni Ardenghi, Nicola Parolini, Giovanni Ziarelli, Wolfgang Bock, Stefan Heyder, Thomas Hotz, David E Singh, Miguel Guzman-Merino, Jose L Aznarte, David Morina, Sergio Alonso, Enric Alvarez, Daniel Lopez, Clara Prats, Jan Pablo Burgard, Arne Rodloff, Tom Zimmermann, Alexander Kuhlmann, Janez Zibert, Fulvia Pennoni, Fabio Divino, Marti Catala, Gianfranco Lovison, Paolo Giudici, Barbara Tarantino, Francesco Bartolucci, Giovanna Jona Lasinio, Marco Mingione, Alessio Farcomeni, Ajitesh Srivastava, Pablo Montero-Manso, Aniruddha Adiga, Benjamin Hurt, Bryan Lewis, Madhav Marathe, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Rafal P Bartczuk, Filip Dreger, Anna Gambin, Krzysztof Gogolewski, Magdalena Gruziel-Slomka, Bartosz Krupa, Antoni Moszyński, Karol Niedzielewski, Jedrzej Nowosielski, Maciej Radwan, Franciszek Rakowski, Marcin Semeniuk, Ewa Szczurek, Jakub Zielinski, Jan Kisielewski, Barbara Pabjan, Kirsten Holger, Yuri Kheifetz, Markus Scholz, Biecek Przemyslaw, Marcin Bodych, Maciej Filinski, Radoslaw Idzikowski, Tyll Krueger, Tomasz Ozanski, Johannes Bracher, Sebastian Funk

Source: eLife, Vol 12 (2023)

Subject Terms: modelling, forecast, COVID-19, Europe, ensemble, prediction, Medicine, Science, Biology (General), QH301-705.5

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://elifesciences.org/articles/81916; https://doaj.org/toc/2050-084X

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/26d25f44b203488cba00565db28416bb

Impact of SARS-CoV-2 vaccination of children ages 5–11 years on COVID-19 disease burden and resilience to new variants in the United States, November 2021–March 2022: a multi-model studyResearch in context

Authors: Rebecca K. Borchering, Luke C. Mullany, Emily Howerton, Matteo Chinazzi, Claire P. Smith, Michelle Qin, Nicholas G. Reich, Lucie Contamin, John Levander, Jessica Kerr, J. Espino, Harry Hochheiser, Kaitlin Lovett, Matt Kinsey, Kate Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Lauren Shin, Joseph C. Lemaitre, Juan Dent Hulse, Joshua Kaminsky, Elizabeth C. Lee, Alison L. Hill, Jessica T. Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Ajitesh Srivastava, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srini Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Bryan Lewis, Brian Klahn, Joseph Outten, Benjamin Hurt, Jiangzhuo Chen, Henning Mortveit, Amanda Wilson, Madhav Marathe, Stefan Hoops, Parantapa Bhattacharya, Dustin Machi, Shi Chen, Rajib Paul, Daniel Janies, Jean-Claude Thill, Marta Galanti, Teresa Yamana, Sen Pei, Jeffrey Shaman, Guido España, Sean Cavany, Sean Moore, Alex Perkins, Jessica M. Healy, Rachel B. Slayton, Michael A. Johansson, Matthew Biggerstaff, Katriona Shea, Shaun A. Truelove, Michael C. Runge, Cécile Viboud, Justin Lessler

Source: The Lancet Regional Health. Americas, Vol 17, Iss , Pp 100398- (2023)

Subject Terms: SARS-CoV-2, COVID-19, Vaccination, Variant emergence, Scenario projection, Modeling, Public aspects of medicine, RA1-1270

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2667193X22002150; https://doaj.org/toc/2667-193X

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/56dc285063ed48bba77f73bc94c5e710

Projected resurgence of COVID-19 in the United States in July—December 2021 resulting from the increased transmissibility of the Delta variant and faltering vaccination

Authors: Shaun Truelove, Claire P Smith, Michelle Qin, Luke C Mullany, Rebecca K Borchering, Justin Lessler, Katriona Shea, Emily Howerton, Lucie Contamin, John Levander, Jessica Kerr, Harry Hochheiser, Matt Kinsey, Kate Tallaksen, Shelby Wilson, Lauren Shin, Kaitlin Rainwater-Lovett, Joseph C Lemairtre, Juan Dent, Joshua Kaminsky, Elizabeth C Lee, Javier Perez-Saez, Alison Hill, Dean Karlen, Matteo Chinazzi, Jessica T Davis, Kunpeng Mu, Xinyue Xiong, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Alessandro Vespignani, Ajitesh Srivastava, Przemyslaw Porebski, Srinivasan Venkatramanan, Aniruddha Adiga, Bryan Lewis, Brian Klahn, Joseph Outten, Mark Orr, Galen Harrison, Benjamin Hurt, Jiangzhuo Chen, Anil Vullikanti, Madhav Marathe, Stefan Hoops, Parantapa Bhattacharya, Dustin Machi, Shi Chen, Rajib Paul, Daniel Janies, Jean-Claude Thill, Marta Galanti, Teresa K Yamana, Sen Pei, Jeffrey L Shaman, Jessica M Healy, Rachel B Slayton, Matthew Biggerstaff, Michael A Johansson, Michael C Runge, Cecile Viboud

Source: eLife, Vol 11 (2022)

Subject Terms: pandemic, disease modeling, COVID-19, SARS-CoV-2, Delta variant, scenario projection, Medicine, Science, Biology (General), QH301-705.5

File Description: electronic resource

Relation: https://elifesciences.org/articles/73584; https://doaj.org/toc/2050-084X

Access URL: https://doaj.org/article/41cbbf43b8a64af4b8754cd45df5185d